Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 11 April 2017

.. Non-Event Overnight ..
.. Rain Chances Down for Today ..
.. Slim Rain Chances Late Week ..

On this Tuesday… a surface cold front extends southwestward from the eastern Great Lakes into northeastern Arkansas where it becomes stationary and extends southwestward across the ArkLaTex region then into central Texas.. north of the Austin area.. then to north of Del Rio and westward over the Big Bend. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are easterly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, a rather zonal (west-to-east) wind pattern prevails over the USA with weak troughs (lines of low pressure) along the southern California coast as well as over the eastern Great Lakes. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over south central Texas are westerly at 35 to 45 mph.

After a horrible forecast and a “non-event” overnight as a result of the weakening stationary front staying to our north, we’re still looking at rain and thunderstorm chances continue today into tonight. Rainfall amounts will average 1/4 inch or less with heavier totals likely to be found to the ditant east.. southeast and south of the Austin area proper.

Clouds will tend to linger into tomorrow and Thursday through Friday with a slim chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.

Clouds may break a bit Friday into the weekend although there will continue to be isolated rain showers and thunderstorms possible.

Have a good Tuesday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

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Updated 845am CT.. Tuesday / 11 April 2017

TODAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk mainly before the noon hour. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch or less. High 81. Light easterly wind.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 64. Light easterly wind becoming calm after midnight.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch or less. High 81. A calm wind early becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 63. Light south southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Some patchy morning fog.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch or less. High 83. Southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 65. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Some patchy morning fog.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch or less. High 83. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 65. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 84. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 66. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch or less. High 85. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 66. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch or less. High 85. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 18 April 2017 through Monday / 24 April 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (11 Apr)……………………………………………. 7:08 am
Sunset this evening (11 Apr)……………………………………………… 7:56 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (12 Apr)………………………………………………… 7:07 am
Sunset tomorrow (12 Apr)…………………………………………………. 7:57 pm

Updated 915am CT – Monday / 10 April 2017

.. Unsettled Wet and Stormy Weather Pattern Through Tomorrow ..
.. Slim Rain Chances Late Week ..

On this Monday… a surface cold front extends southwestward from a surface low in northwestern Missouri into central Oklahoma and far west Texas near El Paso. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are southerly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, an eastward moving low pressure disturbance is moving eastward over Nebraska with another trough.. or line.. of upper level low pressure extending southward from California into northwestern Mexico and the Baja Peninsula. An upper level ridge of high pressure extends northward from the Gulf of Mexico to along the USA eastern seaboard. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over south central Texas are westerly at 35 to 45 mph.

As we start the new week, an increasingly moist and unstable air mass prevails over our area as a surface cold front moves southeastward across the northern and western areas of Texas.

By midday and continuing through the afternoon and nighttime hours tonight, we’ll see the front move into our area with abundant lift. Numerous rain showers and thunderstorms will be the result with the possibility that a few of the thunderstorms may become severe with an associated hail and straight line thunderstorm wind threat. As the front moves overhead, it will weaken quickly and stall out overhead or just to the southeast of the area. This would, in addition, present a heavy rain risk with upwards of 1 to 3 inches of rain possible (with some isolated heavier totals) over our area. This will promote some urban and small stream flooding as well as some flash flooding in areas where heavier rains occur.

We’ll see rain shower and thunderstorm activity decrease by mid and late morning into the afternoon hours tomorrow as the front washes out to our southeast and the precipitation settles more into south Texas and along the Texas coast.

Clouds will tend to linger into Wednesday and Thursday with a slim chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.

Clouds may break a bit Friday into the weekend although there will continue to be isolated rain showers and thunderstorms possible.

Have a good Monday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

—

Updated 845am CT.. Monday / 10 April 2017

TODAY….Mostly cloudy with increasing rain showers and thunderstorm activity by afternoon with an associated lightning risk. Some thunderstorms may be severe with a hail and strong straightline thunderstorm wind risk after 3pm. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 79. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. Some thunderstorms may be severe with a hail and strong straightline thunderstorm wind risk before 3am. Periods of heavy rain at times.. localized flooding is possible. A 70% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1 to 2 inches. Low 63. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk mainly before the noon hour. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 76. Light east northeasterly wind.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch or less. Low 62. Light easterly wind becoming calm after midnight.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch or less. High 81. A calm wind early becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 63. Light easterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Some patchy morning fog.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch or less. High 83. Southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 65. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Some patchy morning fog.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch or less. High 83. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 65. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 84. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 66. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch or less. High 85. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 17 April 2017 through Sunday / 23 April 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (10 Apr)……………………………………………. 7:09 am
Sunset this evening (10 Apr)……………………………………………… 7:56 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (11 Apr)………………………………………………… 7:08 am
Sunset tomorrow (11 Apr)…………………………………………………. 7:56 pm