Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 21 October 2021
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Hazards Expected …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) A weak cold front over north Texas is moving southward and will weaken as it washes out overhead or just north of our area today into tonight. Some cloudiness will continue over the area today into tonight with a little more of an east northeasterly surface wind flow.
(2) As southerly winds pick up by tomorrow into the weekend, warmer temperatures and higher humidity will be the result. Cloud cover will continue to increase a bit, particularly late night and early morning low cloudiness and perhaps an isolated light early morning sprinkle, but I do not expect any widespread precipitation.
(3) Our next big weather change comes next Wednesday as a cold front moves through the area in the early morning into mid morning time period with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Drier and cooler air will move into the area in the wake of the front as surface high pressure moves in from the Rockies.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is predicting 0.25 inch to 0.50 inch of rainfall over the next seven day period.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to very high confidence through Wednesday.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 21 October 2021
TODAY…. Partly cloudy. High 87. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 65. Light east northeasterly wind becoming calm.
FRIDAY…. Brief morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 87. Light wind becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 67. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 88. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 69. Southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 89. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 70. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
MONDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 90. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 70. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 89. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers after midnight. Where rainfall occurs, given a 20% chance of rain, it will average less than .05 inch. Low 71. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms before 10am as a cold front passes. Turning breezy and cooler with decreasing clouds by midday into afternoon. Where rainfall occurs, given a 30% chance of rain, it will average .25 inch. High 84. Southerly wind shifting north northwesterly 10 to 18 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 28 October 2021 through Wednesday / 03 November2021…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (21 October)……………………………………….. 7:37 am
Sunset this evening (21 October)…………………………………………. 6:53 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (22 October)……………………………………………. 7:38 am
Sunset tomorrow (22 October)…………………………………………….. 6:52 pm