Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 22 September 2022
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… Unseasonably Warm Temperatures Otherwise No Weather Hazards Expected …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) Our atmosphere continues to look quite stable and very summer like. Locally for the IH35 corridor, I am continuing to keep it dry with the typical late summer weather pattern prevailing into the weekend with afternoon high temperatures continuing to be above seasonal averages with highs near or slightly above 100 through tomorrow.
(2) A south southeastward moving cold front pushing into northeast Texas tomorrow into tomorrow night will likely pull up stationary to our northeast. I expect little change locally since the weakening frontal remnants will remain to our northeast.
(3) Another slightly stronger cold front will moves into and through our area from the northwest by Sunday night and off the Texas coast by Monday afternoon. No precipitation is expected with frontal passage while afternoon temperatures behind the front will fall back to being closer to normal for this time of year and overnight lows fall into the 60s (finally!!).
(4) A reminder.. the official beginning of the fall season comes with the Autumnal Equinox tonight at 8:03pm CDT.
(5) Beyond the seven day forecast period, I’ll be monitoring a tropical disturbance, which is forecast to become better developed as it moves westward over the Caribbean Sea. While it too early to say exactly where the system will end up and exactly how strong it’ll be, I am increasingly becoming concerned for potential impacts over the eastern Gulf of Mexico and Florida for the latter part of next week. I’ll keep you informed on this system’s progress.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is no rainfall over our area for the next seven day forecast period.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 22 September 2022
TODAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 100. Calm wind becoming east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming calm late.
FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 101. Light west northwesterly wind.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. Light wind.
SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Southerly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming calm late.
SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Calm wind early becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear with a cold front moving through the area around midnight. Low 73. South southwesterly wind shifting northerly 5 to 12 mph.
MONDAY…. Sunshine and less humid. High 92. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and a little cooler. Low 65. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 91. Light northeasterly wind.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 64. Light wind.
WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine. High 91. Light wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 29 September through Wednesday / 05 October 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (22 Sep)………………………………………… 7:19 am
Sunset this evening (22 Sep)………………………………………….. 7:27 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (23 Sep)…………………………………………….. 7:20 am
Sunset tomorrow (23 Sep)……………………………………………… 7:26 pm