Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Flash Flood Watch Goes Into Effect at 1pm Today.. Continues through 7am Tomorrow (Mo/22Aug2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 22 August 2022

 

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. A Lightning and Gusty Wind Threat with Thunderstorms Today and Tonight ….
…. Flash Flood Watch In Effect 1pm Today Until 7am Tuesday ….

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) With this weekend’s tropical disturbance remnants moving northward into Texas, a weak southward moving cold front and an associated low pressure trough (line of low pressure) has developed over Texas for the start of the week. Much better rain and thunderstorm chances are showing up for much of the week with the possibility of heavier rainfall amounts for a good part of our area. Where heaviest rainfall occurs, some flooding problems could begin to occur. In addition, I expect, due to cloud cover and precipitation, for daytime high temperatures to be below normal for a change.

(2) Rain chances diminish a bit with the return of a bit more sunshine by late Thursday into Friday and our upcoming weekend.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting an average rainfall of
2 to 4 inches.. with isolated higher total possible.. over our area over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

—-

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 22 August 2022

… Flash Flood Watch 1pm Today Until 7am Tomorrow (Tuesday) …

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. High 94. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 70% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. Low 74. Light northeasterly wind becoming calm.

TUESDAY…. Cloudy and not as warm with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Periods of heavy rain possible. Given a 70% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. High 89. Light and variable wind.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. Low 75. Light wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Periods of heavy rain possible. Given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.50 to 0.75 inches. High 88. Light wind.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. Low 75. Light easterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 to 0.50 inches. High 90. Light easterly wind.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. Low 75. Light easterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inches. High 91. Light easterly wind.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 75. Light wind.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. High 91. Light southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 76. Light southeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. High 93. Light south southeasterly wind.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 29 August through Sunday / 04 September 2022
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (22 Aug)………………………………………… 7:02 am
Sunset this evening (22 Aug)………………………………………….. 8:05 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (23 Aug)…………………………………………….. 7:03 am
Sunset tomorrow (23 Aug)……………………………………………… 8:04 pm