Troy’s Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 19 November 2019 ….
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
.. No Hazards ..
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…
(1) A drier and more stable weather pattern with sunshine and warmer temperatures for today.
(2) An upper level storm system, currently off the northern coast of the Baja Peninsula over the eastern Pacific Ocean, will begin moving east northeastward by mid week and, as a result, our atmosphere will grow more moist and unstable and clouds will increase tonight through Wednesday. As the initial upper air disturbance moves east northeastward over the southern plains Wednesday into Wednesday night, we’ll see rain chances return to our forecast.
(3) As the earlier disturbance moves over Texas, another strong upper level low over the Pacific Ocean will settle into place over the eastern Pacific Ocean and the southwestern USA and will move east northeastward for the end of the week into the weekend with better rain and perhaps even thunderstorm chances. As this second upper level low pressure storm system moves by, a stronger surface cold front will move through the area during the early/mid morning hours on Friday. Because the front may outpace the upper level low, we may keep rain and thunderstorm chances going on back in the cooler air for most of the day Friday before rain chances decrease and clouds break late Friday night into Saturday.
(4) A drier and more stable weather pattern with temperatures falling back to below season averages is likely for our upcoming weekend.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 19 November 2019
TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 78. South southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph by afternoon.
TONIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Low 60. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Patchy AM fog and low clouds. Partly to mostly cloudy. Becoming breezy. A few rain showers. Rainfall, given a 20% chance of rain, will average 0.05″ or less. High 79. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts by afternoon.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers. Rainfall, given a 30%chance of rain, will average 0.05″. Low 65. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Rainfall, given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.10″. High 78. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, given a 50% chance of rain, will average 0.25″. Low 62. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
FRIDAY…. Cloudy and turning cooler with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a cold front passes by early/mid morning. Rainfall, given a 60% chance of rain, will average 0.25″ to 0.50″. Rain chances decreasing by mid and late afternoon. High 65. Southwesterly wind early shifting north northwesterly 10 to 18 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy and cooler with decreasing rain chances in the early evening becoming partly cloudy after 7pm and then clear after midnight. Early evening rainfall, given a 20% chance of rain before 7pm, will average trace amounts. Low 42. North northwesterly wind decreasing to 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 62. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 41. Light north northeasterly wind.
SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 64. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming more easterly in the afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 47. Light east southeasterly wind.
MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 71. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 26 November 2019 through Monday / 02 December 2019…
Temperatures… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (19 November)…………………………………… 7:00 am
Sunset this evening (19 November)…………………………………….. 5:32 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (20 November)……………………………………….. 7:01 am
Sunset tomorrow (20 November)………………………………………… 5:32 pm