Troy’s  Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 18 November 2019 ….

      
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

.. No Hazards ..

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

(1) A drier and more stable weather pattern with sunshine and warmer temperatures for the early part of the new week.

(2) An upper level storm system, currently off the northern coast of the Baja Peninsula over the eastern Pacific Ocean, will begin moving east northeastward by mid week and, as a result, our atmosphere will grow more moist and unstable and clouds will increase Tuesday night through Wednesday. As the initial upper air disturbance moves east northeastward over the southern plains Wednesday into Wednesday night, we’ll see rain chances return to our forecast.

(3) As the earlier disturbance moves over Texas, another strong upper level low over the Pacific Ocean will settle into place over the eastern Pacific Ocean and the southwestern USA and will move east northeastward for the end of the week into the weekend with better rain and perhaps even thunderstorm chances. As this second upper level low pressure storm system moves by, a stronger surface cold front will move through the area during the early/mid morning hours on Friday. Because the front may outpace the upper level low, we may keep rain and thunderstorm chances going on back in the cooler air for most of the day Friday before rain chances decrease and clouds break late Friday night into Saturday.

(4) A drier and more stable weather pattern with temperatures falling back to below season averages is likely for our upcoming weekend.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Monday / 18 November 2019

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 75. Northwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light by afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 47. Light wind.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 78. South southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph by afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Low 60. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Becoming breezy. A few rain showers developing by afternoon. Rainfall, given a 20% chance of rain, will average 0.05″ or less. High 79. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Rainfall, given a 30%chance of rain, will average 0.05″. Low 64. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Rainfall, given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.10″. High 79. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, given a 50% chance of rain, will average 0.25″. Low 62. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY…. Cloudy and turning cooler with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a cold front passes by early/mid morning. Rainfall, given a 60% chance of rain, will average 0.25″ to 0.50″. Rain chances decreasing by mid and late afternoon. High 65. Southwesterly wind early shifting north northwesterly 10 to 18 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy and cooler with decreasing rain chances in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Evening rainfall, given a 20% chance of rain before 8pm, will average trace amounts. Low 45. North northwesterly wind decreasing to 5 to 12 mph. 

SATURDAY…. A few clouds early in the morning otherwise mostly sunny. High 62. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 41. Light north northeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 64. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming more easterly in the afternoon.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Monday / 25 November 2019 through Sunday / 01 December 2019…
Temperatures… Below Average   
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (18 November)…………………………………… 6:59 am
Sunset this evening (18 November)…………………………………….. 5:33 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (19 November)……………………………………….. 7:00 am
Sunset tomorrow (19 November)………………………………………… 5:32 pm