Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Cold Front Due Overnight (We/17Nov2021)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 17 November 2021
       
Not Available Today…
   
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Threats Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A southerly surface wind has resulted in low level moisture return and our morning low cloudiness. Patchy morning low clouds and even some fog will continue today; however, these morning low clouds should thin out pretty quickly with daytime heating with afternoon high temperatures well above seasonal averages.

(2) A strong cold front will surge southeastward through the area in the overnight hours tonight. At this point, I expect most precipitation to be east of the IH35 corridor. Temperatures, in the wake of the front, will cool back to below seasonal averages with abundant sunshine tomorrow into the Friday.

(3) Southerly winds will increase by late Friday into the weekend ahead of the next cold front expected by late Sunday night into Monday morning. Slightly cooler temperatures are expected in the wake of the front early next week.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting little or no precipitation for our area over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to very high confidence through Tuesday.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 17 November 2021

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 84. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear early then increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy as a cold front passes after midnight. Turning breezy and cooler after midnight. Low 52. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph shifting northerly 8 to 18 mph after midnight.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. Breezy and cooler. High 63. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph and gusty.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and colder. Low 42. North northeasterly wind decreasing to 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 67. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more east southeasterly by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 49. Light southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny and warmer. High 74. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15  mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 57. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 78. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 55. Southerly wind shifting northerly 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 71. Light northeasterly wind.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 46. Light wind.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 73. Light wind becoming east southeasterly 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Wednesday / 24 November 2021 through Tuesday / 30 November 2021…
Temperatures… Near Average  
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (17 November)……………………………………. 6:58 am
Sunset this evening (17 November)……………………………………… 5:33 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (18 November)………………………………………… 6:59 am
Sunset tomorrow (18 November)…………………………………………. 5:33 pm