Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Clouds Give Way to Sunshine and Above Average Temperatures (Mo/15Nov2021)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 15 November 2021
       

  
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Threats Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A return to a light southerly surface wind has resulted in low level moisture return and our morning low cloudiness this morning. Patchy morning low clouds and even some fog will be possible into mid week; however, these morning low clouds should thin out pretty quickly with daytime heating with afternoon high temperatures well above seasonal averages.

(2) A stronger cold front will move southeastward through the area in the predawn hours on Thursday morning. At this point, I expect most precipitation to be east of the IH35 corridor. Temperatures, in the wake of the front, will cool back to below seasonal averages with abundant sunshine THURSDAY into the weekend.

(3) Southerly winds will increase by the weekend ahead of the next cold front expected by Sunday morning and a secondary cold front forecast just beyond the seven day forecast period next Monday.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting little or no precipitation for our area over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to very high confidence through Sunday.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 15 November 2021

TODAY…. Morning low clouds and patchy fog then becoming sunny. Unseasonably warm. High 82. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 60. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 82. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 62. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 83. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early then increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy as a cold front passes after midnight. Turning breezy and cooler after midnight. Low 53. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph shifting northerly 8 to 18 mph after midnight.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. Breezy and cooler. High 65. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph and gusty.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and colder. Low 43. North northeasterly wind decreasing to 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 67. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more east southeasterly by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 49. Light east southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny and warmer. High 74. Southerly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 56. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy with a cold front passing in the morning hours. High 70. Southerly wind shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Monday / 22 November 2021 through Sunday / 28 November 2021…
Temperatures… Near Average  
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (15 November)……………………………………. 6:57 am
Sunset this evening (15 November)……………………………………… 5:34 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (16 November)………………………………………… 6:58 am
Sunset tomorrow (16 November)…………………………………………. 5:34 pm