Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 11 September 2020 ….
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Weather Hazards Expected Today or Tonight …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) With the cold front now washing out to the east of our area, clouds are already decreasing in areas south and southwest through east of the Austin/IH35 corridor. As we see increased sunshine as early as this afternoon, temperatures will rebound to near to slightly below seasonal averages into the weekend.
(2) After a break in the clouds and rain chances today through tomorrow night and into early Sunday, another weak surface cold front will move southeastward into the Texas coastal plains as low level gulf moisture surges northwestward from the Gulf of Mexico by Sunday. The result will be increased/thickening clouds as well as the return of rain chances late Sunday through much of next week with the best rain chances, in my opinion, holding off until the end of next week and into the following weekend (beyond the seven day forecast period). Complicating the forecast for next week will be two tropical disturbances moving generally westward through the Gulf of Mexico for the time period.. the NWS/National Hurricane Center will be monitoring both closely.
(3) NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests the potential of 1 to 1 1/2 inches of rain, in general, for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days (through next Thursday) with temperatures near to slightly below seasonal averages.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Today through Sunday midday..
High to very high confidence
Sunday Afternoon through Thursday..
Low to Medium confidence
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 11 September 2020
TODAY…. Slowly decreasing clouds in the morning becoming partly cloudy by afternoon. High 80. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 66. Light north northeasterly wind.
SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 88. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Low 72. Light northeasterly wind early becoming calm late.
SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms after 3pm with an associated lightning threat. A less than 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. High 89. Calm wind shifting north northeasterly 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts as a cold front passes southeastward over the area.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with isolated rain showers. A less than 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 70. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 40%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. High 87. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. Low 71. Light northeasterly wind becoming calm late.
TUESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. High 87. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. Low 71. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. High 88. Light east northeasterly wind.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. Low 71. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. High 89. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 18 September 2020 through Thursday / 24 September 2020…
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (11 September)…………………………….. 7:13 am
Sunset this evening (11 September)………………………………. 7:41 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (12 September)…………………………………. 7:14 am
Sunset tomorrow (12 September)………………………………….. 7:40pm