Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 19 April 2021
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Hazards Expected …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) A dry and stable weather pattern is expected over the area over the next 24 hours as high pressure, that settled south in the wake of the cold front late Friday, moves east of the area.
(2) A dry and stronger cold front will pass the area by the late afternoon hours tomorrow with gusty northerly winds and much cooler temperatures due tomorrow night into Wednesday. High pressure, in the wake of the front, will move east of the area by Wednesday night into Thursday with a return south southeasterly surface wind flow.
(3) As a warm front lifts northeastward through the area, low level moisture will return with increased clouds and humidity Thursday into Thursday night with rain chances returning to the IH35 corridor by Thursday night.
(4) An approaching strong upper level low pressure disturbance and associated cold front will surge east southeastward over the area Friday into Friday night. As it moves across the area, we’ll see increased and dynamic atmospheric lift combining with increased atmospheric instability and the available moisture to produce scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms.. some of which be strong with a hail and straight line thunderstorm wind threat. Once the front passes by late Friday night, precipitation will taper off quickly with drier and more stable air overspreading the area.
(5) A pleasant weekend with a mix of clouds and sunshine is in store for the area Saturday and Sunday with temperatures at or slightly below seasonal averages.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is forecasting 0.25″ to 0.50″ rainfall for the IH35 corridor.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High confidence
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 19 April 2021
TODAY…. Partly cloudy. High 72. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 51. Light easterly wind.
TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny as a cold front passes in the afternoon. High 80. Light east southeasterly wind shifting northerly 10 to 20 mph and gusty in the afternoon.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and colder. Low 43. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph and gusty diminishing slowly late.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably cool. High 69. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 49. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy and more humid. High 75. Light easterly wind becoming southeasterly 8 to 15 mph by afternoon.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat developing after midnight. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. Low 62. Southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
FRIDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat in the morning then increasing to numerous by afternoon. A few thunderstorms may be severe with a large hail and damaging straight line wind threat. A 50% chance of rain in the morning increasing to 70% by afternoon; rainfall will average 0.25″. High 79. South southeasterly wind 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 10pm as a cold front approaches and moves through the area. Rain chances decreasing after 10pm. A 70% chance of rain before 10pm decreasing to 20% after midnight; rainfall will average an additional 0.25″. Low 60. Southerly wind 10 to 18 mph becoming more southwesterly late before shifting north northwesterly after midnight.
SATURDAY…. A few clouds early then becoming mostly sunny. Breezy and less humid. High 82. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 56. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 84. Light east northeasterly wind.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 26 April 2021 through Sunday / 02 May 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (19 April)……………………………………….. 6:59 am
Sunset this evening (19 April)…………………………………………. 8:01 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (20 April)……………………………………………. 6:58 am
Sunset tomorrow (20 April)…………………………………………….. 8:02 pm