Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 12 April 2022
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx
—-
AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
…. Lightning Hazard With Any Thunderstorm ….
…. Slight/Enhanced Severe Weather Risk (2/3 of 5 scale) … Mainly Large Hail …
—-
AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) A developing dynamic low pressure area and cold front over the inter mountain region has resulted in a south southeasterly wind flow continuing with increased cloud cover. As the system gets closer, we’ll see a few sprinkles and rain showers into this afternoon with widely scattered strong thunderstorms beginning by later this afternoon into tonight and then a final bout with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms Wednesday as a cold front passes east-to-east through the area. Based on NWS/Storm Prediction Center guidance, a few of the storms may be severe but mainly in areas north of Austin mid afternoon today into tonight.
(2) After the cold front passes tomorrow, skies tomorrow will clear as drier air moves in with somewhat cooler temperatures prevailing for Thursday and Friday in the wake of the front.
(3) A southerly wind returns with increased low level moisture and warming temperatures for the Easter weekend.
(4) A stronger cold front will move through the area by Sunday evening with a few rain showers and thunderstorms possible. Clearing and cooler conditions will prevail in the wake of the front for the first part of next week.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting less than 0.25 inch over the area over the next seven day period.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.
—-
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 12 April 2022
TODAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms mainly northwest and north of Austin with an associated lightning threat. Given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall should average less than 0.25 inch. High 90. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.
TONIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms mainly north and northeast of Austin with an associated lightning threat. Given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall should average less than 0.25 inch. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy and a few rain showers and thunderstorms before noon with an associated lightning threat as a weak cold front passes. Decreasing clouds becoming mostly sunny, unseasonably warm and less humid by afternoon. High 93. Southerly winds becoming more west southwesterly wind 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.. Winds shifting more northwesterly by late afternoon.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Clear and cooler. Low 54. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph and becoming more northeasterly.
THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 86. Light wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 60. East southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 88. Light southeasterly wind becoming southerly 5 to 12 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 66. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy and unseasonably warm. High 92. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 66. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY /EASTER/…. Morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy and unseasonably warm with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk ahead of a cold front moving through by late afternoon. High 88. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph shifting northwesterly 8 to 15 mph. (Austin sunrise 7:01am)
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy and a little cooler. Low 62. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph decreasing late.
MONDAY…. Mostly sunny and a little cooler. High 84. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 19 April 2022 through Monday / 25 April 2022
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (12 April)………………………………………….. 7:07 am
Sunset this evening (12 April)……………………………………………. 7:57 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (13 April)………………………………………………. 7:06 am
Sunset tomorrow (13 April)……………………………………………….. 7:57 pm