Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 23 May 2018

… A Dry Seven Day Forecast Ahead …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… surface high pressure is well to the east of the area. A low pressure area over southeastern Colorado with a trough, or line, of surface low pressure extending southward through eastern New Mexico and far west Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are light and variable or light southerly.

On the upper air map… a trough, or line, of upper air low pressure extends southward from western Canada into the western USA with a strong upper level low pressure disturbance embedded over southeastern Idaho. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are northwesterly less than 15 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

The dry weather pattern continues for today with rain chances very minimal and in areas generally well east of the IH35 corridor. This stable summer like weather pattern will prevail through the remainder of the week and through the upcoming long Memorial Day weekend.

Guidance strongly suggests that afternoon highs will rise into the mid and upper 90s
by the holiday weekend as upper level high pressure establishes a “lid” on the atmosphere.

I continue to watch a weak area of low pressure that is expected to move north northwestward from the western Caribbean Sea and the eastern Yucatan peninsula into the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico by late week. Atmospheric models are in general agreement in suggesting the eastern Gulf and the Florida coast for potential landfall of perhaps a tropical depression or weak tropical storm over the upcoming holiday weekend. In any case, the system stays well east of our local area with little/no effect expected.

Based upon the latest NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, forecast rainfall amounts, over the next seven days, for south central Texas will likely be trace amounts or less (in other words, no rainfall expected!!).

Have a good Wednesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT… Wednesday / 23 May 2018

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny. High 93. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny. High 96. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 98. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY /MEMORIAL DAY/…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 30 May 2018 through Tuesday / 05 June 2018…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (23 May)………………………………………… 6:33 am
Sunset this evening (23 May)………………………………………….. 8:23 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (24 May)…………………………………………….. 6:32 am
Sunset tomorrow (24 May)……………………………………………… 8:24 pm

Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 22 May 2018

… A Mostly Dry Seven Day Forecast Ahead …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… a weakening stationary front extends from a surface low over southern Illinois into southern Missouri and extreme northern Arkansas hen west northwestward into extreme northeastern Oklahoma and into Kansas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are light southerly.

On the upper air map… a trough, or line, of upper air low pressure extends southward from western Canada into the southwestern USA with a strong upper level low pressure disturbance over southern Nevada. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are westerly less than 20 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

After a few rain showers and thunderstorms in areas east of the IH35 corridor yesterday, a drier weather pattern is developing for today with rain chances decreasing with only isolated rain showers and thunderstorms expected.

Overall, a dry and stable summer like weather pattern will prevail through the remainder of the week and pretty much through the upcoming long Memorial Day weekend.

I continue to watch a weak area of low pressure that is expected to move north northwestward from the western Caribbean Sea into the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico by mid into late week. Atmospheric models are in disagreement in where the system moves beyond that with some suggesting the eastern Gulf and the Florida coast while others, suggesting movement a little more to the west. According to the NWS/National Hurricane Center, there are some indications that the system could become better organized by mid week and beyond. In any case, the system stays well east of our local area, so I will keep the seven day forecast beyond today and tonight dry.

Based upon the latest NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, forecast rainfall amounts, over the next seven days, for south central Texas will likely be trace amounts or less.

Have a good Tuesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT… Tuesday / 22 May 2018

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise partly cloudy. High 92. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds late. Low 71. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny. High 93. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 96. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with low clouds late. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds, otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 29 May 2018 through Monday / 04 June 2018…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (22 May)………………………………………… 6:33 am
Sunset this evening (22 May)………………………………………….. 8:22 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (23 May)…………………………………………….. 6:33 am
Sunset tomorrow (23 May)……………………………………………… 8:23 pm

Updated 915am CT – Monday / 21 May 2018 … Slim Chance of Rain As We Start the Week … …

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Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 17 May 2018 … A Stable Summer Like Weather Pattern Prevails … … No …

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Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 16 May 2018 … Slim Thunderstorm Chances Again Later Today into Tonight … … …

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