Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Humidity Increases with Above Average Temps (9am, Fr/06Nov2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 06 November 2020 ….

  
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) With sunshine continuing, we’ll see temperatures warm a bit as south southeasterly surface winds continue into the weekend. Temperatures, on average, are predicted to be at or just above seasonal averages over the next seven days. Low level moisture return has been abundant enough for the return of some patchy morning fog and some late night and early morning clouds through the weekend.

(2) A trough, or line, of upper level low pressure is developing, as expected, over the western USA with the system moving eastward into the plains states by Monday and Tuesday with a cold front forecast moving eastward into Texas and through our local area by Tuesday morning with slim rain chances.

(3) Skies will clear with drier and more stable conditions moving into the area by late Tuesday through the remainder of the new week. Another cold front may move across the IH35 corridor next Friday but I am not expecting much in the way of rainfall.  

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days, indicates very little, if any, rainfall.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High Confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Friday / 06 November 2020

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds and patchy fog otherwise mostly sunny. High 82. Light southeasterly wind increasing to 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 56. Light southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds and patchy fog otherwise mostly sunny. High 82. Light southeasterly wind increasing to south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early becoming partly cloudy late. Low 59. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds and patchy fog otherwise partly cloudy. High 82. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph increasing to south southeasterly 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy. Low 65. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds and patchy fog otherwise partly cloudy. High 84. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms as a cold front passes. Becoming partly cloudy, less humid and a little cooler in the afternoon. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 79. Southerly wind shifting north northwesterly 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and a little cooler. Low 54. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine. High 78. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming more northeasterly by afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 56. Light northeasterly wind becoming calm late.

THURSDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 80. Calm wind becoming southeasterly 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Friday / 13 November 2020 through Thursday / 19 November 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average    
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (06 November)…………………………………. 6:49 am
Sunset this evening (06 November)…………………………………… 5:39 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (07 November)……………………………………… 6:50 am
Sunset tomorrow (07 November)………………………………………. 5:39 pm

Lots of Sunshine with Above Average Temperatures (9am, Th/05Nov2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 05 November 2020 ….

   
Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) With sunshine continuing, we’ll see temperatures warm a bit as south southeasterly surface winds continue for the latter half of the week into the weekend. Temperatures, on average, are predicted to be at or just above seasonal averages over the next seven days.
As I expected, low level moisture return has been abundant enough for the return of some patchy morning fog and some late night and early morning clouds.

(2) A dynamic and deep upper level low will develop over the western USA by the weekend with the system moving eastward into the plains states by next Monday and Tuesday with a cold front forecast moving eastward into Texas and through our local area by Tuesday morning.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days, indicates very little, if any, rainfall.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Thursday / 05 November 2020

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds and patchy fog otherwise mostly sunny. High 81. Light southeasterly wind increasing to south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 57. Light southeasterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds and patchy fog otherwise mostly sunny. High 82. Light southeasterly wind increasing to 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 56. Light southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds and patchy fog otherwise mostly sunny. High 82. Light southeasterly wind increasing to south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early becoming partly cloudy late. Low 59. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds and patchy fog otherwise partly cloudy. High 82. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph increasing to south southeasterly 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy. Low 65. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds and patchy fog otherwise partly cloudy. High 84. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms as a cold front passes. Becoming partly cloudy, less humid and a little cooler in the afternoon. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 79. Southerly wind shifting north northwesterly 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and a little cooler. Low 49. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine. High 73. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming more northeasterly by afternoon.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Thursday / 12 November 2020 through Wednesday / 18 November 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average    
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (05 November)…………………………………. 6:49 am
Sunset this evening (05 November)…………………………………… 5:40 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (06 November)……………………………………… 6:49 am
Sunset tomorrow (06 November)………………………………………. 5:39 pm