Updated 915am CT – Monday / 06 August 2018
… Isolated Afternoon Rain Showers and Thunderstorms Today …
… An Otherwise Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Over the Next Few Days …
… Rain Chances Return to the Forecast by End of Next Week into Next Weekend …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a stationary front extends westward from southern Iowa to southern Nebraska the into a surface low pressure area in southeastern Colorado. A weak cold front extends westward from that surface low through western Colorado into Utah. Surface high pressure is located to our east over the southeastern USA and the Appalachians. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are south southeasterly.
On the upper air map… a broad area of eastward expanding upper air high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, is located from Oklahoma westward into Arizona. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are light east northeasterly.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
Other than an isolated rain shower and/or thunderstorm today in association with maximum afternoon heating, a dry and stable weather pattern will prevail into mid week.
Afternoon high temperatures will continue in the upper 90s to near 100 through Wednesday.
As the atmosphere grows more unstable and a disturbance in the Rockies and plains drops southward into Texas by late week into this coming weekend, higher rain and thunderstorm chances return to south central Texas with what appears to be a better chance of getting a good soaking for the area. Lightning risk will possibly be an issue for this event. The latest guidance suggests between 1 to 1 1/2 inch of rainfall over the next seven day period with most of that being Thursday and Friday and beyond into next weekend.
Along with increased cloud coverage and better rain and thunderstorm chances, temperatures will be near to slightly below seasonal averages for late week into the weekend.
Have a good Monday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
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Updated 845am CT… Monday / 06 August 2018
TODAY…. Partly cloudy with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 10% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/10th of an inch. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 100. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY…. Becoming partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 of an inch. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 of an inch. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 of an inch. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 94. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 of an inch. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 94. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 13 August 2018 through Sunday / 19 August 2018…
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Near Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (06Aug)………………………………………. 6:53 am
Sunset this evening (06Aug)………………………………………… 8:20 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (07Aug)…………………………………………… 6:53 am
Sunset tomorrow (07Aug)……………………………………………. 8:20 pm