Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Thunderstorm Risk Today.. Temps Rise in 7 Day Forecast (Tu/07Jul2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 07 July 2020 ….

      
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

.. A Lightning Threat Today into Tonight ..

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

.. Weak Disturbances Move Northwest To Southeast Through Area Today ..
.. A Drier and More Stable Weather Pattern Tomorrow and Beyond ..

(1) Atmospheric lift associated with weak southeastward moving upper air disturbances, combined with available low level moisture and instability, will result in widely scattered to scattered rain showers and thunderstorms this afternoon into early tonight mainly in areas north of Austin.

(2) Upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid” on our atmosphere, will strengthen and result in a stable summer weather pattern mid week through the weekend. Afternoon high temperatures will be headed up with afternoon heat stress index readings in excess of 100 degrees. Afternoon high temperatures will be in the 100 to 105 degree range by the weekend into early next week.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Tuesday / 07 July 2020

TODAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms by afternoon, mainly in areas Austin and northward, with an associated lightning threat. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. High 95 with an afternoon heat index of 100 to 105. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph with winds strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.

TONIGHT…. Widely scattered rain showers with an associated lightning threat before 8pm. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 98 with an afternoon heat index of 102 to 107. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 99 with an afternoon heat index of 103 to 108. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 100 with an afternoon heat index of 104 to 109. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 102 with an afternoon heat index of 105 to 110. South southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 103 with an afternoon heat index of 106 to 111. South southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 104 with an afternoon heat index of 107 to 112. South southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Tuesday / 14 July 2020 through Monday / 20 July 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average   
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (07 July)………………………………….. 6:35 am
Sunset this evening (07 July)……………………………………. 8:36 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (08 July)………………………………………. 6:36 am
Sunset tomorrow (08 July)………………………………………… 8:35 pm

A Dry Weather Pattern Continues with Above Average Temps (Th/02Jul2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 02 July 2020 ….

      
Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

.. Afternoon Heat Stress Index Around/Above 100 Over The Next Few Days ..

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

.. A Dry / Stable Summer Weather Pattern Prevails  ..

(1) Upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid” on our atmosphere, will result in a stable summer weather pattern through the weekend. Afternoon high temperatures will be headed up with afternoon heat stress index readings in excess of 100 degrees. Afternoon high temperatures will be near the 100 degree mark by late week into the 4th of July holiday weekend.

(2) Looking toward early into mid parts of next week, there are indications that the center of upper level high and the atmospheric “lid” will move further west and will weaken overhead by the middle part of next week. As a result, I will add slim rain chances beginning next Tuesday. 

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Thursday / 02 July 2020

TODAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 96 with afternoon heat stress around 106. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 99. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY (4TH OF JULY)…. Mostly sunny. High 100. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 100. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. High 95. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. High 95. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Thursday / 09 July 2020 through Wednesday / 15 July 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average   
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (02 July)………………………………….. 6:33 am
Sunset this evening (02 July)……………………………………. 8:37 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (03 July)……………………………………….. 6:34 am
Sunset tomorrow (03 July)………………………………………… 8:37 pm