Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

troyk

TK’s Austin/South Central Texas Forecast (Mon/30Jan2012)

by

1:30pm CST.. Monday / 30 January 2012

TODAY…. Thickening clouds to become mostly cloudy. High 64 to 68. Southerly wind  8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a less than 20% chance of light rain. Patchy fog developing late. Low 53 to 57. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average only trace amounts.

TUESDAY…. Morning clouds with patchy fog and light rain. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. High 72 to 76. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average only trace amounts.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 59 to 63. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds and patchy fog.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 73 to 77.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 52 to 56.

THURSDAY…. Partly cloudy.. breezy and cooler in the wake of an early morning cold front. High 68 to 72.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. becoming cloudy late with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Low 54 to 58.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms as another cold front passes in the morning into midday hours. High 60 to 64.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy and cooler. Low 40 to 44.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 59 to 63.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 41 to 45.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 57 to 61.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 6 Feb 2012 through Sunday / 12 Feb 2012…
Temperature… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (30 Jan)…………. 7:23 am
Sunset this evening (30 Jan)………….. 6:06 pm
Sunrise Tuesday (31 Jan)………………. 7:22 am
Sunset Tuesday (31 Jan)……………….. 6:07 pm

….AUSTIN AREA POLLEN COUNT….
…RECORDED MONDAY / 30 JANUARY 2012…
(Note: This is the most recent report that has been provided.
This count is updated as provided on weekdays only and is
courtesy of Austin Allergy Associates and Dr. T. Ray Vaughn
and Dr. P. Dennis Dyer)

Molds….. 660 gr/cubic meter (Moderate) – Down Since Last Reading
Grasses….. 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
Weeds…… 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
…Breakdown of Weeds:
…None Reported …
Trees…… 19 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
…Breakdown of Trees:
…Cedar 1.. American Elm 13.. Ash 5..

TK’s Weather Discussion (Mon/30Jan2012)

by

Updated  130pm Monday / 30 January 2012

…. Clouds Continue to Thicken as We Start the New Week ….
…. A Weak Cold Front Will Move Through the Area Early Thursday ….
…. Cooler Temperatures Late Week with Another Cold Front on Friday ….

On this Monday… surface high pressure is located over the southeastern USA with a trough.. or line of low pressure.. developing from western Kansas and eastern Colorado southwestward into eastern New Mexico and western Texas. As a result of this surface pressure pattern, a southerly surface wind is blowing across our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… a rather zonal (west-to-east) upper air wind pattern continues over the USA with a eastward moving trough.. or line.. of upper air low pressure over southern Mew Mexico and northern Mexico. As a result of this pressure pattern, the upper air winds over our area of Texas are moderate westerly.

The upper air low pressure disturbance.. to our west.. has caused a rapid return of surface moisture and clouds to our area. The upper air system phases with yet another southeastward moving upper air low pressure disturbance over the intermountain west, we could see a sprinkle of rain over the next 24 hours. As the upper air systems move east of our area by late Tuesday into Wednesday, we’ll see the clouds break across our area.

A cold front will move southeastward across our area early Thursday with a second stronger cold front due by Friday morning. Another upper air low pressure disturbance will time itself with the second cold front with clouds and a better chance of rain.

Surface high pressure.. behind Friday’s cold front..  will move settle southward in the wake of the front with cooler temperatures area wide into the weekend with a partly cloudy sky being the main feature of our weekend weather.

The high pressure area will move east of our area by late Sunday into Monday with a south southeasterly surface wind returning and clouds increasing a bit into the new week.

My forecast confidence today through the middle and later part of this week is medium to high (exact frontal timing and rain chances being the main unknowns). My confidence for next weekend is high.

For Austin and south central Texas… tonight will see a cloudy sky with a few sprinkles and patchy fog. Lows in the 50s with a southerly wind. For tomorrow, a partly to mostly cloudy sky will prevail. Highs in the 70s with southerly wind.

Have a good Monday night and Tuesday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel