Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

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TK’s Austin/South Central Texas Forecast (Mon/27Feb2012)

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Updated 1000am CST.. Monday / 27 February 2012

TODAY…. Patchy morning fog and drizzle.. otherwise mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers. High 63 to 67. Southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/10th inch or less.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with a 20% chance of light rain. Low 60 to 64. Southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/10th inch or less.

TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy and warmer with a less than 20% chance of rain in the morning and midday hours. High 75 to 79. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/10th inch or less.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers after midnight. Low 60 to 64. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds and patchy fog with a 20% chance of rain showers early as a cold front passes. Becoming sunny and less humid for the midday and afternoon hours. High 72 to 76.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy and cooler. Low 50 to 54.

THURSDAY…. Increasing clouds.. more humid and warmer. High 77 to 81.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 62 to 66.

FRIDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms as a cold front passes in the midday into early afternoon hours. Breezy and cooler with decreasing clouds by mid and late afternoon. High 76 to 80.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy.. breezy and cooler. Low 43 to 47.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine and cooler. High 62 to 66.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 40 to 44.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 67 to 71.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 5 Mar 2012 through Sunday / 11 Mar 2012…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (27 Feb)………….. 6:59 am
Sunset this evening (27 Feb)……………. 6:29 pm
Sunrise Tuesday (28 Feb)……………….. 6:58 am
Sunset Tuesday (28 Feb)………………… 6:29 pm

….AUSTIN AREA POLLEN COUNT….
…RECORDED MONDAY / 27 FEBRUARY 2012…
(Note: This is the most recent report that has been provided.
This count is updated as provided on weekdays only and is
courtesy of Austin Allergy Associates and Dr. T. Ray Vaughn
and Dr. P. Dennis Dyer)

Molds….. 480 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
Grasses….. 3 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Up Since Last Reading
Weeds…… 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
…Breakdown of Weeds:
…None Reported …
Trees…… 41 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
…Breakdown of Trees:
…American Elm 5.. Ash 36..

TK’s Weather Discussion (Mon/27Feb2012)

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Updated  1000am Monday / 27 February 2012

…. Clouds Prevail with a Chance of Rain over the Next Few Days….
…. Weak Cold Front Due to Pass Southeastward Through Area Early Wednesday ….
…. Stronger Cold Front Due Midday/Early Afternoon Friday ….

On this Monday… a surface high pressure area is over the southeastern USA with a cold front extending south southwestward from a surface low over the northern Great Lakes into the middle Mississippi Valley into central Arkansas southeastern Oklahoma into west Texas and southern New Mexico. Another surface high is located.. behind the front.. over the northern plains states. As a result of this surface pressure pattern, a southerly surface wind continues across our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… a deepening trough.. or line.. of upper air low pressure is located over the west coast of the United States. As a result of this pressure pattern, the upper air winds are moderate southwesterly across Texas.

Low level moisture continues to deepen over our area in advance of the front over the northwestern part of Texas. Weak upper air low pressure disturbances.. being ejected northeastward through Texas by the west coast trough.. have caused and will continue to result in patchy light rain and rain showers until a weak cold front moves through the area early Wednesday morning.

High pressure along with cooler temps will build into the area as the Wednesday front moves to the Texas coast and pulls up stationary by late Wednesday.

The front will return back northward as a warm front by late Wednesday night into Thursday morning with clouds.. humidity and warmer temperatures returning quickly.

A second.. stronger.. cold front will move through the area with widely scattered to scattered rain showers and thunderstorms during the mid and late morning into midday hours on Friday. Skies will clear with cooler temperatures prevailing late Friday through Friday night and into the weekend.

The surface high, behind the second front, will move eastward with a return to a southerly surface wind by late Sunday into next Monday.

My forecast confidence through the week is high. My confidence for the forecast for next weekend is high to very high.

For Austin and south central Texas… tonight will be mostly cloudy with some light rain.  Lows in the 60s with a southeasterly wind. For tomorrow, mostly cloudy. Highs in the 70s with south southeasterly wind.

Have a good Monday night and Tuesday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel