Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

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TK’s Austin & South Central Texas Forecast (Tues/11Sep2012)

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Updated 930am CDT.. Tuesday / 11 September 2012

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 92 to 96. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear early with low clouds late. Low 64 to 68. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 92 to 96. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Lows 68 to 72. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a 30% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 90 to 94.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Low 67 to 71.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 86 to 90.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms as a cold front passes through the area in the evening hours. Low 66 to 70.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of morning rain showers and thunderstorms. High 87 to 91.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 65 to 69.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 88 to 92.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 66 to 70.

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 89 to 93.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 18 September 2012  through Monday / 24 September 2012…
Temperature… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (11 September)………………. 7:13 am
Sunset this evening (11 September)………………… 7:41 pm
Sunrise Wednesday (12 September)……………….. 7:14 am
Sunset Wednesday (12 September)………………… 7:40 pm

….AUSTIN AREA POLLEN COUNT….
…RECORDED MONDAY / 10 SEPTEMBER 2012..
(Note: This is the most recent report that has been provided.
This count is updated as provided on weekdays only and is
courtesy of Austin Allergy Associates and Dr. T. Ray Vaughn
and Dr. P. Dennis Dyer)

Molds….. 4090 gr/cubic meter (High) – Up Since Last Reading
Grasses….. 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
Weeds…… 36 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
…Breakdown of Weeds:
…Ragweed 36…
Trees…… 4 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
…Breakdown of Trees:
…Fall Elm 4…

TK’s Weather Discussion (Tues/11Sep2012)

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Updated 930am CDT Tuesday / 11 September 2012

… Dry Weather Continues …
… Much Better Rain Chances with Another Cold Front Late Week …

On this Tuesday… surface high pressure is over the eastern and northeastern USA. As a result of this surface pattern, a southerly surface wind is prevailing across our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, a upper high pressure ridge, acting like a lid on the atmosphere, is situated over Texas but it weakening just a bit. As a result of this upper air wind flow, the upper level winds overhead are generally light and variable over our area.

A dry and stable weather pattern continues across the area as surface high pressure.. that settled into the area from the north following Saturday’s cold front.. continues to move east of our area. As south southeasterly surface winds continue, low level moisture will increase with some late night and early morning low cloudiness returning as early as tonight into early tomorrow morning.

A cold front will, in combination with a passing upper air low pressure disturbance,  approach the area by late week and will likely move across the area Friday. While this front will not be as strong as the previous one last Saturday, the latest computer and manual guidance suggests that it will be much wetter. Scattered  rain showers and thunderstorms will begin as early as Thursday and continue through Friday, Friday night and Saturday morning. NWS rainfall guidance is suggesting that 1/2 to 3/4″ of rain may fall across our area with this weather system.

A weak area of surface high pressure will build into the area with slightly cooler and drier conditions as the cold front moves southeast of our area and washes out along the Texas coast late Saturday into Sunday.

Another.. perhaps stronger..  cold front will affect the area by the middle part of next week.

For Austin and south central Texas… tonight will see a mostly clear sky with late night low clouds with lows in the 60s with a southerly wind. For tomorrow, morning low clouds will give way to a mostly sunny with highs in the 90s with a southerly wind.

Have a good Tuesday night and Wednesday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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