Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

TK’s Austin / South Central Texas Forecast

Updated 845am CDT.. Wednesday / 15 May 2013

TODAY…. Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.  High 78 to 82. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph. Additional rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch.

TONIGHT…. A 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms through midnight. Partly cloudy early with low clouds developing after 11pm.  Low 66 to 70. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph. Additional rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch.

THURSDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 84 to 88. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds developing after 10pm. Low 67 to 71. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 86 to 90. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds developing after 10pm. Low 67 to 71. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 86 to 90. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds developing after 10pm. Low 67 to 71. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 87 to 91. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds developing after 10pm. Low 67 to 71. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 87 to 91. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds developing after 10pm. Low 68 to 72. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 88 to 92. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 22 May 2013  through Tuesday / 28 May 2013…
Temperature… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (15 May)…………………………… 6:37 am
Sunset this evening (15 May)……………………………. 8:18 pm
Sunrise Thursday (16 May)………………………………. 6:36 am
Sunset Thursday (16 May)……………………………….. 8:19 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion

Updated 845am CDT Wednesday / 15 May 2013

A Passing Disturbance Produces Rain Today ….
Drier and More Stable Weather Returns by Tomorrow Through the Weekend ….
No Frontal Passages/Air Mass Changes over the Next Seven Days ….

On this Wednesday morning…. surface high pressure is over the southeastern USA.. the northern Gulf of Mexico and Florida with low pressure over west Texas and west Oklahoma. Given this surface pressure pattern, surface winds are south southeasterly across our area of the state.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… an upper level low is over northwest Texas and western Oklahoma. Given this upper air pattern, winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area about 18,000 feet above the ground are southwesterly 35 to 45 mph.

The upper air low pressure storm system.. to our distant northwest..  will continue to pass slowly west-to-east to the north of the local area. As this system passes and continues to create lift in the atmosphere, enough low level moisture and atmospheric instability will perhaps give us one more shot for scattered rain showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Latest NWS rainfall forecast guidance suggests that another 1/4 to 1/2 inch of rain could fall over our area.. mainly to our north.. as this system passes slowly eastward overhead later this afternoon.

In the wake of the upper air disturbance, rain chances will diminish by this evening and into the overnight hours and continuing through late week with a more stable late spring weather pattern taking hold late week and through the weekend. With this pattern, you can expect late night and early morning low cloudiness, otherwise a partly cloudy sky with seasonal temperatures.

Have a good Wednesday Night and Thursday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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TK’s Audio Weather Webcast

Updated 1045am CT – Tuesday / 14 May 2013 [audio:https://troykimmelweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/2013.0514.1501z.TKW_.Audio_.mp3|titles=2013.0514.1501z.TKW.Audio]