Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 11 February 2022
       

  
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. No Hazards Expected ….

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A dry and stable weather pattern will prevail through today with temperatures above average for this time of year.  

(2) Another reinforcing dry stronger surface cold front will pass late tonight allowing high pressure to rebuild over the area with cooler temperatures for our upcoming weekend before temperatures warm early next week. Gusty northerly winds will prevail tomorrow into tomorrow night in the wake of the front. Expect another freeze, under a mostly clear sky, tomorrow night and early Sunday morning especially in areas away from the urban centers along the IH35 corridor.

(3) Beginning next Wednesday and continuing into the later part of next week, as lower pressure becomes established over the central plains state, we’ll see a weather pattern change with increased low level moisture and associated cloud cover, a more unstable atmosphere and increased rain and even thunderstorm chances over Texas.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting around 0.25 to 0.50 inch of  precipitation over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.  

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 11 February 2022

TODAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 77. Light westerly wind becoming south southwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear with a cold front passing after midnight. Low 47. Light southwesterly wind shifting northerly 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts after midnight.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy.. windy and cooler. High 54. Northerly wind 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and colder. Low 32. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts in the evening then light northwesterly late.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 64. Light northwesterly wind becoming southerly by afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 38. Light south southwesterly wind.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 69. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 44. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 72. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Increasing cloudiness becoming mostly cloudy. Low 56. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated threat of lightning. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.10 to 0.25 inch. High 74. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated threat of lightning. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 50% chance of rain, will average 0.25 inch. Low 56. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated threat of lightning as cold front passes by midday. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.25 inch. Decreasing clouds in the afternoon. High 72. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph shifting west northwesterly 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Friday / 18 February 2022 through Thursday / 24 February 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (11 February)…………………………………… 7:14 am
Sunset this evening (11 February)…………………………………….. 6:16 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (12 February)……………………………………….. 7:13 am
Sunset tomorrow (12 February)………………………………………… 6:17 pm