Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 15 August 2022
No audio weather webcast today (see headlines below)…
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
…. Elevated Heat Indices with Above Average Temps Continuing ….
…. High Wildfire Danger Continues …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) As a tropical disturbance weakens to our southwest as it moves west and northwest over the Rio Grande plains of south Texas and adjacent areas of Mexico, upper level high pressure will build back over our area from the north and northeast. As a result, we’ll see afternoon high temperatures, with abundant sunshine, rising back to near 100 today and above 100 degrees tomorrow and Wednesday. Precipitation, associated with the dissipating tropical disturbance, will remain well southwest of our local area today.
(2) By Thursday into Friday, the upper level high pressure area will move back toward the U. S. west coast as upper level winds overhead turn a bit more northerly which will allow our atmosphere to become more unstable as a weak cold front moves southward into central and north Texas. Put this together with available low level moisture, we’ll see better rain chances return to our local forecast.
(3) With the front to our north weakening and returning back northward as a warm front, rain chances will continue into our upcoming weekend but the chance of rain for any given location will decrease a bit under a partly cloudy sky.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting an average rainfall of 0.25″ to 0.50″ over our area over the next seven day forecast period.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A medium to high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 15 August 2022
TODAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 101. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 77. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 103. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 78. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.
WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 104. Light wind becoming south southwesterly 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds late. Low 78. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. High 100. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms mainly before midnight with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 77. Light and variable wind.
FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch or less. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms. Light wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms mainly before 8pm with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 77. Light south southeasterly wind.
SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered mainly afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch or less. High 98. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds late. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered mainly afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch or less. High 98. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 22 August through Sunday / 28 August 2022
Temperatures… Near Average
Precipitation… Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (15 Aug)………………………………………… 6:58 am
Sunset this evening (15 Aug)………………………………………….. 8:12 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (16 Aug)…………………………………………….. 6:59 am
Sunset tomorrow (16 Aug)……………………………………………… 8:11 pm