Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update #12
Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
530pm CT – Saturday / 04 May 2019

… Some of the Rainfall Amounts Last Three Days/72 Hours (01-03 May 2019)…

Austin Bergstrom International Airport…. 4.79″
Austin City / Camp Mabry ANG…. 3.42″
Austin Great Hills AGHT2 NWS Cooperative Station…. 1.56″
Austin UT/University of Texas Police Department…. 6.92″
LCRA / Walnut Creek at Webberville…. 7.83″
Dripping Springs (RAWS Report)…. 6.57″
Austin Executive Airport (Pflugerville)…. 3.00″
Georgetown Municipal Airport…. 2.62″
Rusty Allen (Lago Vista) Airport…. 1.38″
San Marcos Municipal Airport…. 1.83″

… More Rain on the Way Next Week So Be Weather Ready …

The latest guidance is suggesting another wet weather period for much of next week with
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall forecasts showing an average of 2 to 4 inches
for most of south central Texas. With the heavy amounts we’ve seen in the last 24 hours in the
eastern/southern parts of the area, if these amounts verify, we’ll see some flooding as a result.
NWS/Storm Prediction guidance is also suggesting the possibility of severe weather again at
least close to our area beginning as early as Monday with a risk pretty much daily for
Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.
Nothing specific now.. but just a reminder for you to enjoy the sunshine this weekend
because it looks like an active weather pattern for next week.

… NWS Austin-San Antonio Has Completed The Storm Surveys on Tornadoes to Our
Southeast Yesterday … Read The Report Below …

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
439 PM CDT Sat May 4 2019


.Fayette-Lavaca County CR257...

Rating:                 EF0
Estimated Peak Wind:    75 mph
Path Length /statute/:  2.78 miles
Path Width /maximum/:   20.0 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             05/03/2019
Start Time:             07:14 AM CDT
Start Location:         4 ENE Moulton / Lavaca County / TX
Start Lat/Lon:          29.6024 / -97.0871

End Date:               05/03/2019
End Time:               07:26 AM CDT
End Location:           3 SSE Flatonia / Fayette County / TX
End Lat/Lon:            29.6418 / -97.0846

Survey Summary:
A small EF0 tornado formed early Friday morning as showers and storms were moving north through
western Lavaca County. Some oak tree damage was found along the fenceline on and  
along County Road 256 near the intersection with CR 257 just NE of Moulton.  The weak tornado 
damaged some trees as it moved north fairly close to CR 257 and CR 257A.  More tree damage was
found on E. Wiedemann Road just on the other side of the Lavaca County line in far southern Fayette
County.  It appears that the weak tornado dissipated near this location as no other damage was 
found farther north. Max winds were estimated to be 75 mph.

.Salem-Freyburg Rd Tornado...

Rating:                 EF0
Estimated Peak Wind:    80 mph
Path Length /statute/:  4.17 miles
Path Width /maximum/:   20.0 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             05/03/2019
Start Time:             08:14 AM CDT
Start Location:         6 ENE Flatonia / Fayette County / TX
Start Lat/Lon:          29.7218 / -97.0163

End Date:               05/03/2019
End Time:               08:26 AM CDT
End Location:           4 SE Muldoon / Fayette County / TX
End Lat/Lon:            29.7816 / -97.0072

Survey Summary:
A thunderstorm moved over southern Fayette County near Interstate 10 in between
Flatonia and Schulenburg.  A weak tornado touched ground near Farek-Loth Rd where 
it turns north and becomes Ehler-Grasshof Road.  An outside storage shed
was destroyed along Ehler-Grasshof along with some minor tree damage.  The tornado
appears to have moved north and crossed Salem-Freyburg Rd where power lines where
damaged off Gebert Road and large trees were down on Schultz Road.  North of this area 
there was no visible damage as the path was not accessible. For this reason the tornado
path was ended on Schultz Road. Max winds were estimated to be 80 mph.

.Highway 71 La Grange Tornado...

Rating:                 EF2
Estimated Peak Wind:    120 mph
Path Length /statute/:  2.48 miles
Path Width /maximum/:   75.0 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             05/03/2019
Start Time:             09:04 AM CDT
Start Location:         5 W La Grange / Fayette County / TX
Start Lat/Lon:          29.9071 / -96.9573

End Date:               05/03/2019
End Time:               09:12 AM CDT
End Location:           4 WNW La Grange / Fayette County / TX
End Lat/Lon:            29.9389 / -96.9397

Survey Summary:
The same storm that produced the Salem-Freyburg Road EF0 tornado continued to move north
through central Fayette County. As it approached the west side of La Grange, a tornado was produced 
with visible tree damage just south of the La Grange airport near the intersection of Supak
Lane and Jackson Road.  Large oak trees were damage and uprooted near this area and areas
along Old Lockhart Road.  Damage in this area was estimated to be EF1.  The tornado then approached
Highway 71 producing heavy damage to a business on the south side of Highway 71.  At this
location a large Metal building was destroyed while another was heavily damaged.  Business and 
employee vehicles were overturned as well as a 90,000 lb piece of machinery was shifted and 
overturned. Winds were estimated to be EF2 as it crossed this area. Employees successfully 
took shelter in the business office where no injuries were reported.  The tornado
continued to move north and crossed Highway 71, destroying/collapsing a metal building across the street and
doing considerable damage to very large oak trees.  The path continued north to Egypt Road where
a small church was heavily damaged and more tree damage was observed.  The tornado finally 
dissipated north of this area near Egypt road just south of the Colorado River. 

EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the
following categories:

EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph
EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph
EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph
EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph
EF4...Violent...166 to 200 mph
EF5...Violent...>200 mph

The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to
change pending final review of the events and publication in NWS
Storm Data.


This is my last update on this weather episode.