Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 31 July 2018

… Increased Clouds and Slim Rain Chances Today …
… An Otherwise Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Through the Next Seven Days …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… a southward moving cold front extends west southwestward from northwestern Mississippi into a surface low near Shreveport, LA then continuing southwestward to just south of Austin then westward as a stationary front into far west east of El Paso before turning northward into New Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are northerly.

On the upper air map… a broad ridge, or line, of upper air high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, is centered over southern California and the desert southwestern USA. An unseasonably strong area of upper level low pressure area extends southward from Hudson Bay and then over Great Lakes and the eastern half of the USA. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are northwesterly 40 to 45 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

The weak cold front, that has moved through the area in the early morning hours, will continue to move southward and into the Texas coastal plains today as it becomes stationary and starts to wash out. Even with the front through the area, increasing cloud cover and some southeastward moving post frontal rain showers and thunderstorms will affect some areas. I think that rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less with many areas receiving no rainfall.

Clouds and any precipitation will decrease and end by late in the afternoon today with a return to a more stable air mass once again by tonight through tomorrow into Thursday as the coastal plains stationary front turns into a warm front and passes back northward.

A dry and stable weather pattern will prevail mid through late week through the weekend and even into early next week. Temperatures will rebound a bit with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 90s by the weekend into early next week. No precipitation is seen in the 7 day forecast beyond today.

Have a good Tuesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)

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Updated 845am CT… Tuesday / 31 July 2018

TODAY…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms in the morning with an associated lightning risk as a cold front passes by daybreak. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Not quite so warm. High 95. Winds becoming northerly 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy through 9pm then becoming mostly clear. Low 73. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 96. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east northeasterly by late afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. Light east southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 97. Light south southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. Light southeasterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 07 August 2018 through Monday / 13 August 2018…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (31Jul)………………………………………… 6:49 am
Sunset this evening (31Jul)………………………………………….. 8:25 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (01Aug)……………………………………………. 6:50 am
Sunset tomorrow (02Aug)…………………………………………….. 8:24 pm