Updated 915am CT – Monday / 30 July 2018
… As We Start the New Week, Temperatures Continue Above Seasonal Averages …
… Cold Front Due with Rain Chances Overnight Tonight into Early Tomorrow …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a southward moving cold front extends west southwestward from near Memphis, TN into southeastern Arkansas and northwestern Louisiana then westward across north central Texas and then west Texas into New Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are southerly.
On the upper air map… a broad ridge, or line, of upper air high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, is centered over southern California and the desert southwestern USA. An unseasonably strong area of upper level low pressure area extends southward from Hudson Bay and then over Great Lakes and the eastern half of the USA. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are northwesterly 20 to 25 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
Another warmer than average day is expected today with 100 degree plus temperatures with abundant sunshine.
The cold front, to our north over north central Texas, will continue to move southward and move across the IH35 corridor by daybreak tomorrow morning. Increasing cloud cover and pre frontal rain showers and thunderstorms will start to affect the area by tonight into early tomorrow with the front moving through the area just before or during the morning rush hour tomorrow. At this point, I think that we’ll be seeing upwards of 1/4 inch of rainfall where precipitation occurs (it will not occur everywhere around our area).
Clouds and precipitation will decrease with a return to a more stable air mass once again by late tomorrow into tomorrow night and Wednesday as the front to our south pulls up stationary and washes out.
A dry and stable weather pattern will prevail mid through late week through the weekend and even into early next week. Temperatures will rebound a bit with afternoon highs in the upper 90s to near 100 degrees by early in the next week. No precipitation is seen in the 7 day forecast beyond tomorrow.
Have a good Monday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)
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Updated 845am CT… Monday / 30 July 2018
TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 103. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy with rain showers and thunderstorms increasing in coverage after midnight with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Low 75. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming more southwesterly after midnight.
TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms in the morning with an associated lightning risk as a cold front passes by daybreak. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Not quite so warm. High 94. Winds becoming northerly 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy through 9pm then becoming mostly clear. Low 73. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 96. East northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 72. Light east southeasterly wind.
THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 97. Light south southeasterly wind.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. Light southeasterly wind.
FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 06 August 2018 through Sunday / 12 August 2018…
Temperatures… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (30Jul)………………………………………… 6:48 am
Sunset this evening (30Jul)………………………………………….. 8:26 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (31Jul)…………………………………………….. 6:49 am
Sunset tomorrow (31Jul)……………………………………………… 8:25 pm