Daily Archives
March 25, 2015

TK’s Audio Weather Webcast…. (910am CT-Tue/31Mar2015)

by troyk | on Mar 25, 2015 | Comments Off

Still recovering from dental surgery and having some problems with my voice this morning, therefore I will no prepare audio weather webcast today. See the WEATHER DISCUSSION and AUSTIN AREA FORECAST tabs above for all of your current weather information.. thanks, tk

TK’s Austin and South Central Texas Weather Forecast….

by troyk | on Mar 25, 2015 | Comments Off

Updated 845am CT.. Wednesday / 25 March 2015

TODAY…. Patchy morning low clouds and fog.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 84. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy until midnight then becoming mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms possible after 2am with the approach of a cold front. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 60. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more southwesterly after midnight.

THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms through 9am as a cold front passes the area. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average 1/4 inch or less. Decreasing clouds by mid and late morning becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon. Cooler. High 68. Southwesterly wind early morning becoming northwesterly 8 to 15 mph as the front passes.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and cooler. Low 47. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming light after midnight.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine and warmer. High 72. Light wind in the morning becoming westerly 5 to 10 mph by midday.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 44. Light southwesterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 76. Southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 49. Light southwesterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 78. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 55. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 79. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 59. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance at any given location, will average 1/4 inch or less. High 77. Southerly southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 01 Apr 2015 through Tuesday / 07 April 2015…
Temperature… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (25 March)…………………………………………. 7:28 am
Sunset this evening (25 March)…………………………………………… 7:46 pm
Sunrise Thursday (26 March)……………………………………………… 7:27 am
Sunset Thursday (26 March)………………………………………………. 7:46 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion….

by troyk | on Mar 25, 2015 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 25 March 2015

.. Another Cold Front with Rain Chances Tonight into Early Tomorrow ..
.. Sunshine and Cooler Temperatures Late Week ..
.. Plenty of Sunshine and Warmer Temperatures for the Weekend ..

On this Wednesday morning…. a surface high pressure area is over the southeastern part of the USA and the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. Low pressure and a weak series of cold fronts extends westward from northern Arkansas..southeastern Oklahoma.. northwest Texas and northeast New Mexico. A surface trough.. or line of low pressure.. extends from eastern New Mexico and west Texas south southwestward into far southwest Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are southerly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. a developing broad trough.. or line.. of upper level low pressure is situated from southwest of Hudson Bay through the northern and central plains states then into Arizona and northwestern Mexico. As a result, our upper air winds at about 18,500 feet are southwesterly at 15 to 25 mph.

A stable and warmer weather pattern continues over our area.

With the sunshine, afternoon high temperatures will continue to be well above seasonal averages through the day today.

Another cold front is due late tonight into the daybreak hours tomorrow. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms will develop along and ahead of the front but the precipitation chances will decrease rapidly by mid morning tomorrow as the front departs to the southeast and cooler and drier air spreads into our area.

Drier air.. with abundant sunshine.. will prevail Thursday and Friday and through our upcoming weekend. After the briefing cooling trend tomorrow, we’ll see the return of a warming trend Friday through the weekend and into early next week.

A passing upper air low pressure disturbance will result in the introduction of slim precipitation chances by next Tuesday.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My forecast confidence is high to very high today through tomorrow morning (exact probability of rain, precipitation timing and amounts being the issue). My forecast confidence post cold front tomorrow through Friday and the weekend once again goes to back to very high as a more stable weather pattern returns. Forecast confidence drops back to medium by next Tuesday with the approach of an upper air low pressure disturbance and associated precipitation chances.

Have a good Wednesday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu

http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel