Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Wet Weather with A Cold Front by Tonight with Another Cold Front With Rain Chances Again Late Thursday into Friday (Mo/24Oct2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 24 October 2022

 

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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… Lightning Will Accompany Any Thunderstorms Today and Tonight …
… A “Slight” Risk (SPC Category 2 of 5) of Severe Thunderstorms
Today into Tonight … Main Risk Straight Line Thunderstorm Wind …
Lower Risk of Tornadoes and Hail …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A dynamic upper level low pressure and a cold front will move into the area by later today into tonight with rain showers and thunderstorms possible.. cooler temperatures and clearing skies will follow the primary frontal passage late tonight.

(2) A dry and stable fall weather pattern will prevail tomorrow through Thursday with a clear to partly cloudy sky prevailing.

(3) Another strong upper air low pressure disturbance and cold front will cross the area by late Thursday night into Friday resulting in scattered rain showers and thunderstorms.

(4) Cooler and drier conditions and a more stable air mass will prevail by Friday night through next weekend under a clear to partly cloudy sky.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance shows, between today and the late week forecast rain, about 1.00 to 1.25 inch rainfall over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high confidence forecast over the next seven days.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 24 October 2022

TODAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 70% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. High 86. Southerly winds 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a cold front passes by mid evening. Turning breezy and cooler late with rain chances diminishing and clouds decreasing after midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch. Low 55. Southwesterly wind shifting northwesterly 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny.. breezy and cooler. High 76. Northwesterly wind 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 49. Northerly wind decreasing to 4 to 8 mph then becoming calm after midnight.

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine. High 79. Calm wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 52. Light southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 82. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat after midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance at any given location, will average 0.25 inch. Low 61.Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly before 2pm as a cold front passes. Becoming partly cloudy, breezy and less humid after 2pm. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance at any given location, will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. High 75. Light southwesterly wind shifting north northwesterly 10 to 18 mph by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early then mostly clear after midnight. Low 53. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph decreasing late.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 72. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 48. Light northerly wind.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 76. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 31 October through Sunday / 06 November 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (24 Oct)………………………………………… 7:39 am
Sunset this evening (24 Oct)………………………………………….. 6:50 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (25 Oct)…………………………………………….. 7:40 am
Sunset tomorrow (25 Oct)……………………………………………… 6:49 pm