Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 17 October 2018
… Little Change with Clouds and Rain Continuing in an Overrunning Pattern …
… Below Average Temperatures for Much of the Seven Day Period Ahead …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a stationary front extends southward from a surface low over the Carolinas southwestward to the northwest Florida panhandle coast into the northwest Gulf of Mexico then southwestward into Mexico. High pressure, north of the front, is centered from Arkansas into Oklahoma into Colorado. As a result of this surface weather pattern, in the wake of the cold front overnight, our surface winds over south central Texas are northerly.
On the upper air map… a deep broad trough, or line, of upper level low pressure is located from Hudson Bay southwestward into southwestern USA and northwestern Mexico. Within this trough, a deep area of northward moving upper level low pressure is located over northwestern Arizona. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are south southwesterly around 45 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
The cooler surface air.. only several thousand feet thick.. is being overridden by low and mid level moisture resulting in a chilly, cloudy and wet (overrunning) weather pattern persisting through the weekend before a drier weather pattern develops by late in the weekend into early next week.
Temperatures will continue to be below seasonal averages.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance suggests an average of 1 to 2 inches of rain for our local area over the next seven day period with isolated heavier totals possible especially to the northwest of the area.
Have a good Wednesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)
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Updated 845am CT… Wednesday / 17 October 2018
TODAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 56. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TONIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Low 51. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY…. Cloudy with rain and rain showers likely. A 70% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 to 3/4 inch. High 60. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with numerous rain and rain showers. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Low 54. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain and rain showers. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 62. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain and rain showers. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 57. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain and rain showers. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 68. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with a few periods of rain. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 55. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY…. Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 70. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 53. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 69. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph
MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 52. Light easterly wind.
TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain and rain showers. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 71. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 24 October 2018 through Tuesday / 30 October 2018…
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (17Oct)………………………………………. 7:35 am
Sunset this evening (17Oct)………………………………………… 6:57 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (18Oct)…………………………………………… 7:35 am
Sunset tomorrow (18Oct)……………………………………………. 6:56 pm