Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 10 October 2018
… A More Stable Weather Pattern Through Friday …
… Clouds and Rain Chances Reappear for the Weekend …
… Stronger Cold Front Sunday Night …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a cold front extends south\ward from a surface low over Iowa into northeast Texas to overhead of the south central Texas area then westward into southwest Texas then northwestward into New Mexico. Tropical cyclone Michael is over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. Surface high pressure is situated over and off the central and northern east coast of the USA. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are north northwesterly.
On the upper air map… a eastward moving deep trough, or line, of upper level low pressure is located from central Canada southwestward into the western two thirds of the USA. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are southwesterly 55 to 60 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
As the deep upper air low over the western two thirds of the USA moves eastward today, drier and more stable air will continue to overspread our area from the northwest.
This will result in slightly cooler temperatures progressing into the area and that will continue to dominate through late week.
Another stronger cold front will move into the area by late Saturday into Sunday along with the mid and upper level remnants of Pacific tropical cyclone Sergio with rain chances and temperatures cooling further for late in the weekend into next week.
Forecasters at the NWS/National Hurricane Center will be monitoring tropical cyclone Michael, as a dangerous category 4 hurricane, as it continues to move northward through the northeastern Gulf of Mexico toward the Florida panhandle coast around Panama City later today. Damage from the system is expected to be catastrophic in the landfall area. I expect little effect from the system in the state of Texas.
Have a good Wednesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)
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Updated 845am CT… Wednesday / 10 October 2018
TODAY…. Decreasing clouds early becoming mostly sunny. High 82. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more northwesterly in the afternoon.
TONIGHT…. Clear and a little cooler. Low 59. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 80. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 63. Light east northeasterly wind.
FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 81. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 64. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a few rain showers developing before 2pm.. widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. High 81. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Low 69. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 78. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy and turning cooler with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk as a cold front passes. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Low 54. Southerly wind shifting north northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy and much cooler with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 65. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10 inch or less. Low 52. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TUESDAY…. A few rain showers early otherwise becoming partly cloudy. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average trace amounts. High 68. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 17 October 2018 through Tuesday / 23 October 2018…
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (10Oct)………………………………………. 7:30 am
Sunset this evening (10Oct)………………………………………… 7:05 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (11Oct)…………………………………………… 7:31 am
Sunset tomorrow (11Oct)……………………………………………. 7:04 pm