Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 03 October 2018
… Drier and More Stable Conditions into Late Week …
… More Clouds and Better Rain Chances Late Friday into the Weekend …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a trough, or line, of low pressure extends southward from eastern Colorado into New Mexico and into far west Texas. Surface high pressure is situated from the Carolinas eastward over the western Atlantic Ocean. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are south southeasterly.
On the upper air map… a trough, or line, of upper level low pressure is moving slowly eastward from southern Canada into northern Montana. Another stronger upper air low pressure disturbance is located off the coast of southern California. An upper level high is over northern Mexico.. Texas and eastward over the southeastern USA. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are light and variable.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
We’ll continue to be in a rather typical early fall weather pattern as upper air high pressure, acting like a lid on the atmosphere, strengthens overhead, I see a drier and more stable pattern continuing into Friday.
As the upper air low off the coast of southern California moves eastward, rain chances will show up again in the forecast beginning late Friday and continuing through the weekend well into next week. NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance suggests upwards of 1/2 inch, on average, over the next seven days with isolated heavier amounts.
I do not see any cold frontal passages over the next seven day period; however, longer range guidance suggests a stronger cold front into northwest Texas by the middle into latter part of next week.
Have a good Wednesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
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Updated 845am CT… Wednesday / 03 October 2018
TODAY…. Morning low clouds and patchy fog.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 89. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 89. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with isolated late afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. High 88. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with isolated evening rain showers and thunderstorms. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. High 88. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. High 88. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY /COLUMBUS DAY/…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 40% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. High 86. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 40% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch. High 85. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 10 October 2018 through Tuesday / 16 October 2018…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (03Oct)………………………………………. 7:26 am
Sunset this evening (03Oct)………………………………………… 7:13 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (04Oct)…………………………………………… 7:26 am
Sunset tomorrow (04Oct)……………………………………………. 7:12 pm