Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 13 September 2021
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx
—-
AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… Lightning Threat with any Thunderstorms …
—-
AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) Gulf of Mexico moisture flow has increased as tropical cyclone, currently a tropical storm, approaches the middle Texas coast. The current forecast track, after landfall later tonight into early tomorrow, will stay east of Austin. As a result (and assuming the current forecast track verifies), we’ll stay on the drier west side of the system although I will continue the chance of rain showers and thunderstorms being on the west side of the system through the middle part of the new week. With increased clouds and precipitation chances, afternoon high temperatures will be below seasonal averages.
(2) Although a drier and more stable weather pattern will unfold late week through next weekend, residual gulf moisture and instability will result in widely scattered to scattered rain showers and thunderstorms under a partly cloudy sky with afternoon high temperatures warming back to near to slightly above seasonal temperatures.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is predicting rainfall amounts of 0.50 to 0.75 inch.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Medium to high confidence through Sunday
—-
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 13 September 2021
TODAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 50%chance of rain at any given location; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 inch. High 88. East southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy. Becoming breezy overnight. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 40% chance of rain at any given location; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 inch or less. Low 72. Easterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts late.
TUESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and breezy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 60% chance of rain at any given location; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 inch. High 87. Northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy and breezy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 40%chance of rain at any given location; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 inch. Low 72. East northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY…. Some early morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 40% chance of rain at any given location; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 inch or less. High 89. East northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with some higher gusts in the morning.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30%chance of rain at any given location; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 73. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY…. Some early morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30% chance of rain at any given location; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 inch or less. High 91. East northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30% chance of rain at any given location; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 73. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY…. Some early morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30% chance of rain at any given location; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 inch or less. High 93. Light west southwesterly wind becoming southeasterly 5 to 12 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20% chance of rain at any given location; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 73. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY…. Some early morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20% chance of rain at any given location; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25 inch. High 94. Light west southwesterly wind becoming southeasterly 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20% chance of rain at any given location; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 73. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY…. Some early morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20% chance of rain at any given location; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25 inch. High 94. Light west southwesterly wind becoming southeasterly 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 20 September 2021 through Sunday / 26 September 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (13 September)…………………………………… 7:14 am
Sunset this evening (13 September)…………………………………….. 7:38 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (14 September)……………………………………….. 7:15 am
Sunset tomorrow (14 September)………………………………………… 7:37 pm