Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Tuesday Morning / 27 August 2019 Update….

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER HAZARDS
THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… Afternoon Heat Indices in the 105 to 110 F Degree Range …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

(1) The atmosphere has become more stable once again. Afternoon high temperatures will continue well above average over the next 24 hours. 

(3) The upper level high, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, will shift more west and northwest of our area allowing for a little destablization of the atmosphere beginning tomorrow. A cold front will move southward into Texas from the north and settle into south central Texas and the local area as it becomes stationary. At it closest approach to our local area, beginning tomorrow, I will include a chance of rain showers and thunderstorms.

(3) In what is now a medium to high confidence forecast, it looks like a dry and more stable weather situation for Friday through most of the Labor Day weekend. That being said, some models trying to bring a slug of very moist and unstable air moving west northwestward off the Gulf of Mexico beginning early next week. At this point, I will keep a dry weather pattern for the local area through Sunday and Labor Day but, as usual, we need to keep an eye on weather features to the distant east southeast of the local area since these features, if they hold together, could result in rain and thunderstorm chances by late on Labor Day.
 
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Tuesday / 27 August 2019

TODAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 103 with an afternoon heat stress index of 106 to 112. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear early becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Low 79. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. High 100 with an afternoon heat stress index of 103 to 108. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming more east northeasterly in the afternoon. Winds strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. Low 78. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming calm late. Winds strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.

THURSDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. High 99 with an afternoon heat index of 103 to 107. Light wind becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 in the afternoon. Winds strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk before 8pm. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. Low 76. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 100. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 99 with an afternoon heat stress index of 103 to 107. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 100 with an afternoon heat stress index of 105 to 109. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. A few morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 100 with an afternoon heat stress index of 105 to 109. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Tuesday / 02 September 2019 through Monday / 09 September 2019…
Temperatures… Above Average   
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (27 August)………………………………….. 7:05 am
Sunset this evening (27 August)……………………………………. 7:59 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (28 August)………………………………………. 7:06 am
Sunset tomorrow (28 August)……………………………………….. 7:58 pm