Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 30 October 2018
… Stormy Weather Mid Week with a Cold Front …
… Sunshine and Cooler Temperatures Late Week Through the Weekend …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a warm front extends southeastward from a surface low over eastern Kansas into central Arkansas into southern Mississippi and southern Alabama. A cold front extends southwestward from the Kansas low into the Oklahoma and Texas panhandles into northeastern New Mexico then northwestward into western Colorado. As a result of this surface weather pattern, the surface winds are southerly.
On the upper air map… a deepening trough, or line, of upper level low pressure is located from southwest of Hudson Bay southwestward into the southwestern USA. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are west southwesterly around 35 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
Another day of partly cloudy skies with above average temperatures across our area.
The upper level low pressure trough, to our northwest, will move eastward into the central plains as it deepens through the middle part of the week. As the upper level trough moves overhead of our area tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow evening, a surface cold front will surge southeastward on the backside of the upper air trough and move through the area between 4pm to 10pm tomorrow. Rain showers and thunderstorms will increase locally in advance of the front Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday evening with upwards of 1/2 to 1 inch of rain possible. Some stronger thunderstorms with hail and stronger, potentially damaging, thunderstorm wind gusts are possible especially in areas along and east of the IH35 corridor. Precipitation will shut off quickly with the passage of the front with clouds moving east of the area after midnight Wednesday night.
Cooler temperatures.. a bit below average.. will prevail over the area with abundant sunshine Thursday into the weekend.
Have a good Tuesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)
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Updated 845am CT… Tuesday / 30 October 2018
TODAY…. Morning low clouds with some patchy morning fog otherwise partly cloudy. High 83. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
TONIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. Low 68. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
WEDNESDAY /HALLOWEEN/…. Mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms by afternoon with an associated lightning risk as a cold front approaches. A 70% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/2 inch. High 82. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more southwesterly by late afternoon.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy and turning cooler with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms before 9pm with an associated lightning risk as a cold front passes. Decreasing clouds after midnight. A 50% chance of rain before 9pm; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Low 51. Southwesterly wind shifting north northwesterly 10 to 20 mph.
THURSDAY…. Becoming sunny. Cooler. High 67. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 49. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light late.
FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 70. Light wind becoming westerly 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 51. Light wind.
SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 74. Light wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 55. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY…. Patchy morning fog.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 76. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 60. South southeasterly winds 5 to 12 mph.
MONDAY…. Patchy morning fog.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 77. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 06 November 2018 through Monday / 12 November 2018…
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (30Oct)………………………………………. 7:44 am
Sunset this evening (30Oct)………………………………………… 6:45 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (31Oct)…………………………………………… 7:45 am
Sunset tomorrow (31Oct)……………………………………………. 6:44 pm