Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 16 October 2018
… Little Change with Clouds and Rain Continue in an Overrunning Pattern …
… Below Average Temperatures Continue for the Seven Day Period Ahead …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a strong cold front extends southward from a surface low over the Carolinas southwestward to the northwest Florida panhandle coast into the northwest Gulf of Mexico then southwestward into Mexico. High pressure, north of the front, is centered over Oklahoma into Colorado. As a result of this surface weather pattern, in the wake of the cold front overnight, our surface winds over south central Texas are northerly.
On the upper air map… a slowly eastward moving deep broad trough, or line, of upper level low pressure is located from Hudson Bay southwestward into southwestern USA and northwestern Mexico. Within this trough, a deep area of upper level low pressure is located over southwestern Arizona. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are south southwesterly around 40 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
Our much cooler surface air.. only several thousand feet thick.. is being overridden by low and mid level moisture resulting in a chilly, cloudy and wet (overrunning) weather pattern persisting through the weekend before a drier weather pattern develops by early next week.
Temperatures will continue to be below seasonal averages.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance suggests an average of 2 inches of rain for our local area over the next seven day period with isolated heavier totals possible.
Have a good Tuesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)
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Updated 845am CT… Tuesday / 16 October 2018
TODAY…. Cloudy and unseasonably cool with rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 80% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 51. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph.
TONIGHT…. Cloudy with occasional rain showers. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 49. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 55. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with occasional rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Low 50. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY…. Cloudy with rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 70% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 58. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 70% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 53. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 70% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 62. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 56. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 66. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 55. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY…. Becoming partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 68. East northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with isolated rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. Low 56.
MONDAY…. Partly cloudy with isolated rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 69.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 23 October 2018 through Monday / 29 October 2018…
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (16Oct)………………………………………. 7:34 am
Sunset this evening (16Oct)………………………………………… 7:59 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (17Oct)…………………………………………… 7:33 am
Sunset tomorrow (17Oct)……………………………………………. 6:58 pm