Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Tuesday / 16 April 2019 Update….

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update #1
Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
850am CT – Tuesday / 16 April 2019

…. Round of Severe Thunderstorms Possible Late Tomorrow into Tomorrow Night ….
…. NWS/Storm Prediction Center Posts Slight to Enhanced Severe Weather Risk for Area ….
…. Main Risks: Larger Hail and Damaging Thunderstorm Winds w/Tornado Risk N-NE ….
…. Risk Period: 4pm Wednesday to 1am Thursday ….

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/fema/images/fema06_swody2.png

A strong upper level low pressure and associated surface cold front will move across the
area late tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night. As it moves into an increasingly moist
and unstable air mass, it will produce dynamic atmospheric lift which will result in the
rapid development of thunderstorms over the hill country tomorrow afternoon. These
thunderstorms will then sweep eastward across our area late tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night
with an associated large hail and damaging straight line thunderstorm wind risk. In addition,
there may be a tornado or two primarily in areas north through northeast of Austin.

Once the cold front moves through the area after midnight tomorrow night, the severe
weather risk will decrease.

As we head into tomorrow, please increase your weather awareness. Make sure your
NWS All Hazards Weather Radios are turned on and properly reset so that you’re set to
automatically receive any NWS Austin-San Antonio watches/advisories/warnings.

In addition, please sharpen your skills and know the difference between the terms…
watch.. advisory and warning (following graphic courtesy The University of Texas)..

I’ll continue to keep you informed.
tk