Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 06 November 2018
… Clouds Give Way to Sunshine and Much Warmer Temperatures …
… A Series of Cold Fronts Mid into Late Week with Rain Chances …
… Much Cooler Temperatures Late Thursday Through the Weekend …
On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a weakening cold front extends southwestward from central Alabama and central Mississippi into central Louisiana then across south central Texas into a low pressure area over far west Texas then into New Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, the surface winds are light and variable.
On the upper air map… a deep trough, or line, of upper level low pressure is located from south central Canada into the southern plains state. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are westerly around 50 mph.
What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…
Dense fog along with the associated low clouds have been present this morning. These clouds will break quickly as go through the day with well above average temperatures expected with lots of sunshine.
By tomorrow, a series of upper level low pressure disturbances will begin to move across the state. This will result in increased cloud cover and renewed rain chances. The first disturbance will result in a weak cold front moving southeastward into the area during the afternoon hours tomorrow with slim rain chances. The front will pull up stationary to our southeast ahead of another stronger upper air low pressure disturbance expected to pass Thursday into Thursday night. This second disturbance will result in the best rain and thunderstorm chances as it allows a stronger cold front to moves into the area by late Thursday into Thursday night.
In the wake of the second cold front, rain will end and skies will partially clear by late Thursday night into Friday as much cooler air makes its way into Texas.
A dry and stable fall weather pattern, with well below average temperatures, will prevail Friday though our upcoming weekend as skies clear.
Have a good Tuesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)
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Updated 845am CT… Tuesday / 06 November 2018
TODAY…. Morning low clouds with patchy dense fog and drizzle.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 84. Light wind becoming southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming cloudy late with patchy fog developing after midnight. Low 68. Light southerly wind.
WEDNESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers as a weak cold front passes. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 78. Light wind becoming north northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 59. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 68. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy and turning cooler with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk as a stronger cold front passes. A 70% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Low 49. Northerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
FRIDAY…. Cloudy and much cooler with widely scattered rain showers mainly before noon. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 57. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy. Low 43. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 60. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more east southeasterly in the afternoon.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 46. Light east southeasterly wind.
SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 66. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 50. Light southeasterly wind.
MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 67. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 13 November 2018 through Monday / 20 November 2018…
Temperatures… Well Below Average
Precipitation… Well Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (06Nov)………………………………………. 6:49 am
Sunset this evening (06Nov)………………………………………… 5:39 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (07Nov)…………………………………………… 6:50 am
Sunset tomorrow (07Nov)……………………………………………. 5:39 pm