Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

TK’s Weather Discussion (Mon/9Apr2012)

Updated  130pm CDT Monday / 9 April 2012

…. Little Change in the Current Overall Weather Pattern ….
…. A Generally Stable Weather Pattern Continues over the Next Few Days ….
…. Temperatures Expected to Continue Above Seasonal Averages ….

On this Monday… surface high pressure is over the southeastern USA. A cold front extends from western Kentucky into northern Arkansas anf then turns stationary and extends west northwestward over Kansas and Colorado. A low pressure area is over the Oklahoma and northwest. As a result, a southerly surface wind is present over our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, a trough.. or line.. of upper level low pressure extends southward over the eastern USA with another offshore in the Pacific Ocean off the west coast of the USA. over the northern and western part of the country. Between and south of these two upper level areas of low pressure.. a ridge.. or line.. of upper air high pressure extends north northwestward from northern Mexico and southwest Texas across Utah and into Idaho and western Montana. As a result of the upper air wind flow, the upper level winds are light west northwesterly over our area of Texas.

The stable weather pattern.. now in place across the area.. will continue through the next few days even though our south southeasterly surface winds will continue to increase low level moisture into the area.

Late night and early morning low cloudiness will be prevalent over the next few days with an overall mix of clouds and sunshine is expected into next week.

I don’t see any air mass changes (no cold fronts) over the next seven days with a cold front approaching the area from the west by next Monday.

My forecast confidence over the next seven days continues to be high.

For Austin and south central Texas… tonight will see a partly cloudy sky. Lows in the 60s. South southeasterly winds. For  tomorrow, it’ll be partly cloudy after morning low clouds and patchy fog. Highs in the 80s with a southerly wind.

Have a good Monday night and Tuesday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel