Updated 915am CT – Friday / 17 July 2015

.. A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Continues ..

On this Friday…. a generalized trough.. or line.. of low pressure extends southwestward from eastern Colorado and western Kansas across the western Oklahoma panhandle across the northwestern Texas panhandle into eastern New Mexico and into far southwest Texas. Surface high pressure is over the Gulf of Mexico and Florida. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are southerly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. an upper level high pressure area.. acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere.. is centered over the our area of Texas. An upper level low pressure trough extends southwestward from southern Canada into the western USA. As a result, our upper air winds at about 18,500 feet, are light and variable.

A typical summer weather pattern continues with a moist and tropical air mass holding across the area.

More of the same is expected through the seven day forecast period. Upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, should keep us dry with afternoon high temperatures near or even slightly above seasonal averages. I am expecting that afternoon highs will be getting close to the 100 degree mark by Sunday into early next week.

I do not expect any precipitation through the seven day forecast period.

Looking beyond, the NWS Climate Prediction Center’s 8 to 14 day outlook.. pretty much through the remainder of the month and into early August.. strongly suggests a warmer and dryer than average weather pattern continuing.

Have a good Friday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel