Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 16 July 2015

.. A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Continues ..

On this Thursday…. a generalized trough.. or line.. of low pressure extends southwestward from northeastern Kansas across the Oklahoma panhandle across the northwestern Texas panhandle into New Mexico. Surface high pressure is over the Gulf of Mexico and Florida. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are southerly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. an upper level high pressure area.. acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere.. is centered over the eastern half of Texas. An upper level low pressure trough is along the west coast of the USA with another along the Atlantic coast of the northeastern USA. As a result, our upper air winds at about 18,500 feet, are light and variable.

A typical summer weather pattern continues with a moist and tropical air mass holding across the area.

More of the same is expected through the seven day forecast period. Upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, should keep us dry with afternoon high temperatures near or even slightly above seasonal averages. There are some indications that afternoon highs will be getting close to the 100 degree mark by late in the upcoming weekend into early next week.

I do not expect any precipitation through the seven day forecast period.

Looking beyond, the NWS Climate Prediction Center’s 8 to 14 day outlook.. pretty much through the remainder of the month and into early August.. strongly suggests a warmer and dryer than average weather pattern continuing.

Have a good Thursday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel