Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

TK’s Weather Discussion….

Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 15 July 2015

.. A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Continues ..

On this Wednesday…. a generalized trough.. or line.. of low pressure extends southward across west Texas. Surface high pressure is over the Gulf of Mexico and southeastern USA. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are southerly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. an upper level high pressure area.. acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere.. is centered over Texas. An upper level low pressure trough is ashore along the west coast of the USA with another along the Atlantic coast of the northeastern USA. As a result, our upper air winds at about 18,500 feet, are light and variable.

A typical summer weather pattern continues with a moist and tropical air mass holding across the area.

More of the same is expected through the seven day forecast period. Upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, should keep us dry with afternoon high temperatures near or even slightly above seasonal averages. There are some indications that afternoon highs will be getting close to the 100 degree mark by late in the weekend into early next week.

I do not expect any precipitation through the seven day forecast period.

Looking beyond, the NWS Climate Prediction Center’s 8 to 14 day outlook.. pretty much through the remainder of the month.. strongly suggests a warmer and dryer than average weather pattern continuing.

Have a good Wednesday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel