Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

TK’s Weather Discussion….

Updated 915am CT – Monday / 13 July 2015

.. A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Continues ..

On this Monday…. a trough.. or line.. of low pressure extends southward from a surface low over western Kansas into eastern New Mexico and far west Texas around El Paso. Surface high pressure is over the Gulf of Mexico and southeastern USA. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are southerly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. an upper level high pressure area is centered over north Texas and Oklahoma. An upper level low pressure storm system is ashore along the west coast of the USA with another along the Atlantic coast of the northeastern USA. As a result, our upper air winds at about 18,500 feet, are light and variable.

A typical summer weather pattern continues with a moist and tropical air mass holding across the area.

More of the same is expected through the seven day forecast period. Upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, should keep us dry with afternoon high temperatures near or even slightly above seasonal averages.

I do not expect any precipitation through the seven day forecast period.

Looking beyond, the NWS Climate Prediction Center’s 8 to 14 day outlook.. pretty much through the remainder of the month.. strongly suggests a warmer and dryer than average weather pattern continuing.

Have a good Monday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel