Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 04 February 2015

…. Clouds with Rain Chances Decreases As Upper Disturbance Passes ….
…. Cold Front Passes Late Tonight in Wake of Disturbance ….
…. Partial Clearing for Latter Part of the Week through the Weekend ….

On this Wednesday morning…. a surface high pressure is centered off the east coast of North Carolina. A trough. or line.. of low pressure extends southward from eastern Colorado into west Texas and eastern New Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are southerly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. a northeastward moving upper level low pressure disturbance is located just southeast of Austin. As a result, our upper air winds at about 18,500 feet are turning more northerly at 25 to 35 mph.

A cooler surface air mass remains in place across south central Texas as the upper level low pressure disturbance passes to the east northeast of our area. Some sprinkles and considerable low clouds continue and will continue until the system moves further away from the area later today.

With the system moving northeastward out of the area by tonight.. we’ll see clouds break with another cold front sliding through the area by midnight tonight.

A fairly chilly day will be around tomorrow. A dry and stable weather pattern will persist Friday into the weekend with a warming trend.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My forecast confidence is high to very high through the next seven days.

Have a good Wednesday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel