Updated 800am CT – Tuesday / 21 October 2014

…. Not Much Change ….
…. A Dry Stable Weather Pattern Continues ….

On this Tuesday morning…. surface high pressure is over central Mississippi. A trough.. or line.. of low pressure extends southwestward from the Oklahoma panhandle into west Texas and southeastern New Mexico. Another surface high pressure extends northward from central and northern New Mexico into Colorado. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are light northeasterly or variable.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. a trough.. or line.. of upper level low pressure is situated over the eastern USA with another along the west coast. A ridge.. or line.. of high pressure is over the south central USA and Texas. As a result, our upper winds at 18,500 feet are west southwesterly less than 20 mph.

A dry stable fall weather pattern continues across our area.

Overall, little change is seen over the coming days with no rainfall expected over the next seven day forecast period. Several very weak cold fronts will try to move southward through the next seven days but the fronts will struggle in the movement southward into Texas.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My forecast confidence is high to very high through the next seven day forecast period.

Have a good Tuesday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel