Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

TK’s Weather Discussion….

Updated 800am CT – Monday / 20 October 2014

…. A Dry Stable Weather Pattern Continues ….

On this Monday morning…. surface high pressure extends eastward from eastern Arkansas to North Carolina. A trough.. or line.. of low pressure extends southwestward from Kansas into west Texas and southeastern New Mexico. Another surface high pressure extends northward from central and northern New Mexico into Colorado. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are light north northeasterly or variable.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. a trough.. or line.. of upper level low pressure is situated over the northeastern and eastern USA with another off the west coast. A ridge.. or line.. of high pressure extends northward from Texas through the western plains states. A low pressure disturbance is over northwestern Mexico and southeastern Arizona. As a result, our upper winds at 18,500 feet are west southwesterly less than 20 mph.

A dry stable fall weather pattern continues across our area.

Overall, little change is seen over the coming days with no rainfall expected over the next seven day forecast period. Several very weak cold fronts will try to move southward through the next seven days but the fronts will struggle in the movement southward into Texas.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My forecast confidence is high to very high through the next seven day forecast period.

Have a good Monday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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