Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

TK’s Weather Discussion….

Updated 800am CT – Friday / 15 August 2014

…. A Dry and Stable Summer Weather Pattern Continues ….

On this Friday morning…. a weakening stationary front extends westward from the western Florida panhandle across southern Louisiana and the southern parts of south central Texas. Surface high pressure is to the southeast of the front over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. A trough.. or line.. of low pressure extends southward from western Kansas into west Texas and eastern New Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are southerly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… an area of upper level high pressure is located from Texas northward through the central plains states. A trough.. or line.. of upper air low pressure extends southward from the eastern parts of Hudson Bay across the eastern Great Lakes and into the southeastern USA with another upper level low over Washington and Oregon. As a result of this pattern, the upper level winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area, about 18,000 feet above the ground, are easterly at 10 to 20 mph.

The weakening stationary front.. to our south… is expected to continue washing out.

A dry and stable summer weather pattern continues as upper level high pressure strengthens again over the area. This summer weather pattern will persist through the weekend with afternoon high temperatures rebounding once again.

By next week, a better flow of low level moisture off the Gulf of Mexico may result in a slightly more unstable air mass with a few more clouds and afternoon high temperatures coming down one or two degrees.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My forecast confidence is very high through the balance of the seven day forecast period.

Have a good Friday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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