Updated 800am CT – Thursday / 14 August 2014

…. A Dry and Stable Summer Weather Pattern Continues ….

On this Thursday morning…. a weakening stationary front extends westward from the western Florida panhandle across southeastern Louisiana and the extreme northwestern Gulf of Mexico back inland along the upper Texas coast around Galveston then to the south of San Antonio. Surface high pressure is to the east of the front over the southwestern north Atlantic Ocean while the high pressure.. behind the front.. is located over eastern Missouri. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are light easterly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… an area of upper level high pressure is located from Texas northward through the central plains states. A trough.. or line.. of upper air low pressure extends southward from the eastern parts of Hudson Bay across the eastern Great Lakes and into the southeastern USA with another upper level low over Washington and Oregon. As a result of this pattern, the upper level winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area, about 18,000 feet above the ground, are easterly at 10 to 20 mph.

The weakening stationary front.. to our south… is expected to continue washing out.

A dry and stable summer weather pattern continues as upper level high pressure strengthens again over the area. This summer weather pattern will persist through the weekend with afternoon high temperatures rebounding once again.

By early and mid parts of next week, a slightly more unstable air mass may result in a few more clouds and afternoon high temperatures coming down a couple of degrees.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My forecast confidence is very high through the balance of the seven day forecast period.

Have a good Thursday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel