Updated 800am CT – Friday / 1 August 2014

…. A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Through the Next Seven Days ….

On this Friday morning…. a cold front extends from east of Lufkin to south of the Houston area to north of Corpus Christi and then into northern Mexico west of Eagle Pass.  As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds.. being north of the front.. are north northwesterly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… an area of upper level high pressure continues over the western and southwestern USA. A upper air trough.. or line of low pressure..  extends from southern Hudson Bay across the Great Lakes then southward into the lower Mississippi Valley and the northern Gulf of Mexico. As a result of this pattern, the upper level winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area, about 18,000 feet above the ground, are northwesterly at 8 to 15 mph.

A northwesterly wind aloft continues overhead which allows the front to our south, reacting to that more pronounced northwesterly wind aloft, to move southeastward to along the Texas coast. Temperatures will be a little bit cooler over the next few days with lower humidity.

By late Sunday into early next week, surface high pressure north of the front will start moving eastward as low pressure develops to our west. This will result in a return south southeasterly surface wind flow by the middle part of next week. Even with the return south southeasterly wind flow, I expect the stable weather pattern to continue across the area.

Overall, over the next seven days, temperatures will be near to slightly below average with no precipitation expected.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My forecast confidence is very high over the next seven days.

Have a good Friday and a great weekend….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel