Updated 845am CT – Friday / 14 February 2014

…. Happy Valentines Day ….
…. A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern ….
…. Warmer Temperatures in Store ….

On this Friday morning…. a surface high pressure area is over the Gulf of Mexico. A trough.. or line.. of low pressure and an associated weak cold front extends southwestward from the Red River country of north Texas into west Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are southwesterly across our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… the counterclockwise rotating upper level low pressure continues around Hudson Bay with a strong upper level low pressure disturbance over the Appalachian. As a result of this upper air wind pattern, the upper level winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area about 18,000 feet above the ground are northwesterly at 45 to 55 mph.

A dry and stable weather pattern continues across our area. Abundant sunshine will allow temperatures to continue to be well above seasonal averages.. the next few days

Clouds will increase a little bit over the weekend as south southeasterly surface winds prevail.

Another cold front.. dry in nature.. will move across our area about midnight Monday night with a little cooler temperatures to prevail into the middle part of next week with abundant sunshine continuing. Another cold front is in the offing for late next Thursday.. again, little change in the overall weather pattern is expected.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My confidence in my forecast is high to very high over the next seven day forecast period.

Have a good Friday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel