Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

TK’s Weather Discussion….


I’ll be taking the next few days off for the Thanksgiving Holiday. I’ll update this website again on Monday morning.. meanwhile you can check out the latest NWS Forecast for south central Texas here.

Updated 845am CST Wednesday / 27 November 2013

…. Dry and Stable Weather Pattern for Thanksgiving 2013 ….
…. A Slow Warm Up Over the Coming Days ….

On this Wednesday morning…. an eastward moving surface high pressure is over the central plains. As a result of this surface weather pattern, surface winds are northerly across our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… a deep low pressure trough is moving eastward from the Great Lakes southward into the Gulf of Mexico. As a result, the upper level winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area about 18,000 feet above the ground are increasing north northwesterly 30 to 40 mph.

The dry and stable weather pattern continues through late week with plenty of sunshine due for Thanksgiving 2013. Although daytime high temperatures will warm a bit, with the return to sunshine, over the coming days, overnight lows will be colder with a harder freeze likely in the overnight hours tonight especially in the outlying, low lying areas.

As this latest surface high moves east of the area, we’ll see the return of a south southeasterly surface wind by tomorrow with an increase in low level moisture and more clouds along with even warmer temperatures by the weekend into early next week. Enough moisture may be present for slim rain chances on Sunday night.

The latest forecast guidance continues suggests that another area of low pressure will strengthen in the Rockies by Tuesday with another batch of much colder arctic air breaking south and southeastward out of Canada by the middle part of next week.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: Very high forecast confidence through Friday.. then a high confidence forecast for the weekend into early next week. F

Have a good Wednesday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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