Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

TK’s Weather Discussion….

Updated 845am CDT Friday / 1 November 2013

…. Sunshine… Less Humid and Cooler into the Weekend ….
…. Another Low Pressure Storm System Means A Good Chance of Rain Next Week ….

On this Friday morning…. a cold front extends southwestward from the southeastern USA into the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. A low pressure area.. with a trough.. or line.. of low pressure extending southward.. is over west Texas. A high pressure area is over the intermountain west. As a result of this surface weather pattern, surface winds are light or light westerly across our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… a eastward moving strong upper level low pressure trough is over the central USA. As a result, the upper level winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area about 18,000 feet above the ground are strong westerly at 55 to 70 mph.

With the upper low pressure trough now to the east of our area, another weak cold front will move through the area by later today with high pressure.. cooler and drier air.. and clearing skies taking hold late week through pretty much through the weekend.

By early next week, with low level moisture returning and another cold front approaching from the west, I’ll increase cloud cover with a chance of rain returning as early as Sunday night into early Monday. As this system moves through the area, we could see upwards of 1 to 2 inches of rain before a strong cold front moves through by next Wednesday with clouds and precipitation ending thereafter.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: Very high forecast confidence through the weekend then high confidence for Monday through Wednesday.

Have a good Friday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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