Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

TK’s Special Briefing…. (600am CT-Tue/16Jun2015)

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Statement #7
Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
600am CT – Tuesday / 16 June 2015

Links for you to have handy during this event…

NHC Tropical Cyclone Bill forecast package link
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?5day#contents


Latest NASA Satellite Picture
http://1.usa.gov/1dE8AiI

Latest NWS Composite Weather Radar for Southern Plains
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/Loop/southplains_loop.gif

NWS/Austin-San Antonio Local Impacts Statement (HLS)
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?afos=xxxhlsewx&print=yes

NWS/Austin-San Antonio Website
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx/

.. Tropical Storm Bill.. Moving Northwestward.. Approaches  the Middle Texas Coast ..
.. Weak Tropical Storm or Tropical Depression Forecast to Cross Over or Just to the East
of the Austin / South Central Texas Area Late This Afternoon into Nighttime Hours Tonight
..
.. Heavy Rain Threat Areawide and Possible Tornado Threat in Areas Along and East of IH35
Corridor So All Persons in South Central Texas Should Remain Weather Aware Later Today
Through Tonight into Wednesday …

.. Flash Flood Watch Continues for Austin Metropolitan Area and the IH35 Corridor
Counties Until 1pm Thursday ..


Please be ready for a busy period weather wise for Austin and south central Texas area
later today through tonight. Please be “weather ready” and ready to react to NWS/Austin-San Antonio
short fused weather warnings (flash flood and/or tornado) that may become necessary. Please
remember the NWS slogan “turn around.. don’t drown.”

First thing this morning, please check your NOAA/NWS All Hazards Weather Radios to make sure
that the volume is turned up and that they are reset and ready to be alarmed  if warnings are issued
locally later today into tonight
.

It’s important to note that
the ground across the area from the IH35 corridor counties eastward
through southeast Texas (Houston area) is saturated or nearly saturated so additional rainfall that will
be associated with this approaching system will cause problems quickly.
Those problems could.. and will
likely in some areas along and east of IH35..  grow to be very serious in a quick period of time!!

The latest NWS/Weather Prediction Center Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) from now through
the next 2 or 3 days continues indicates forecast precipitation amounts up to 6 to 10 inches or more in areas
east of Austin with upwards of 2 to 4 inches possible in the Austin area proper.

Continuing to monitor… next update by mid afternoon today.

tk